Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 30Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday
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Illescas |
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Deportivo Toledo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.75 |
2.98 |
1.78 |
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 |
4.59 |
3.11 |
1.81 |
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4.66 |
3.14 |
1.81 |
 Watch |
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4.33 |
3 |
1.83 |
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4.71 |
3.04 |
1.79 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.61 ↑
(4.5) |
3.05 ↑
(2.9) |
1.8 ↓
(1.87) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Illescas
19.8% | Draw
29.8% | Deportivo Toledo
50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Deportivo Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)Illescas - Deportivo Toledo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Barreto S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 79', 1 - 1, Segovia D. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illescas won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Toledo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Toledo is the team to beat.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Illescas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Illescas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
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| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 10 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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