Match Info

Paulista Women - Round 4

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)


	Corinthians		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.50	4.00
	1.75	3.4	4.15	Watch
	1.71	3.51	4.09
	1.75	3.57	4.15	Watch
	1.69	3.45	4
	1.84	3.47	4.2
	1.73	3.35	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.64)	3.46 ↓ (3.76)	4.1 ↓ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
51.9%

Draw
26.1%

Ferroviária
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.4%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Corinthians - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, Jhonson ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3.

In this match, Corinthians is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 13 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:12. (average 1.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 1.8:0.7).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ferroviaria W	7	5	1	1	15:5	10	16
3	Corinthians W	7	4	1	2	20:8	12	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians Women
Copa do Brasil Women
30.05.26	Palmeiras - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro Women
25.05.26	Corinthians - Mixto	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
21.05.26	Corinthians - Santos	2:2 ✺
Brasileiro Women
18.05.26	Cruzeiro - Corinthians	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
14.05.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTLW
- Ferroviária Women
Brasileiro Women
24.05.26	Atlético Mineiro - Ferroviária	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
21.05.26	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	2:1 ✺
Brasileiro Women
18.05.26	Ferroviária - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Flamengo - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
06.05.26	Ferroviária - Santos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
24.04.26	Corinthians - Ferroviária	3:1
Brazilian Paulista Women
13.11.25	Ferroviária - Corinthians	0:0
Copa Libertadores Women
15.10.25	Corinthians - Ferroviária	2:1 penalties
Brazilian Paulista Women
12.08.25	Corinthians - Ferroviária	2:0
Brasileiro Women
11.05.25	Ferroviária - Corinthians	1:1
Brazilian Paulista Women
01.07.24	Corinthians - Ferroviária	2:1
Brasileiro Women
22.04.24	Corinthians - Ferroviária	0:0

Corinthians - Ferroviária: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide