Match Info

Paulista Women - Play Offs - Final

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV


	Corinthians		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.15	3.05	Watch
	1.99	3.43	3.23
	2.34	3.23	2.81	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.17	3.2	3.05
	1.83	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.28)	3.29 ↑ (3.15)	3.17 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
43.5%

Draw
27.7%

Palmeiras
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.8%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

29.8%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Corinthians - Palmeiras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lele (G) 9. Andressa Alves 27. Duda Sampaio 99. Erika 10. Gabi Zanotti 30. Jaqueline Ribeiro 40. Jhonson 20. Mariza 31. Rodriguez D. 5. Thais Ferreira 17. Vic Albuquerque	25. Tapia K. (G) 9. Amanda Gutierres 20. Andressinha 7. Brena Carolina 6. Fe Palermo 32. Guzman A. 5. Ingryd Lima 13. Pati Maldaner 3. Poliana 34. Raissa Bahia 29. Taina Maranhao
Substitutes
94. Ariel 77. Carol Nogueira 13. Fuso I. 23. Gi Fernandes 15. Juliana Passari 22. Juliete 19. Leticia Monteiro 3. Leticia Teles 21. Paulinha 32. Rillary (G) 7. Robledo G. 37. Tamires	39. Anny Maraba 21. Carla Tays 8. Diany Martins 16. Emily Assis 99. Espinales J. 4. Giovanna Campiolo 17. Isadora Amaral 24. Landazury G. 42. Ravena (G) 10. Rincon Y. 30. Soll 75. Taina (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Jaqueline Ribeiro 🟨,
43', Erika 🟨,
45+3', Brena Carolina 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jhonson ↓, Robledo G. ↑,
46', Erika ↓, Leticia Monteiro ↑,
46', Ingryd Lima ↓, Espinales J. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Gabi Zanotti ⚽,
61', Taina Maranhao ↓, Soll ↑,
61', Andressinha ↓, Diany Martins ↑,
71', Rodriguez D. ↓, Gi Fernandes ↑,
71', Andressa Alves ↓, Tamires ↑,
74', Guzman A. ↓, Landazury G. ↑,
74', Brena Carolina ↓, Isadora Amaral ↑,
78', Jaqueline Ribeiro ↓, Ariel ↑,
78', Vic Albuquerque ↓, Fuso I. ↑,
86', Espinales J. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-5. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.

Corinthians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Palmeiras is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
07.12.25	Palmeiras - Corinthians	5:1 ✺
04.12.25	Corinthians - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	São Paulo - Corinthians	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Corinthians - Realidade Jovem	3:0 ✺
13.11.25	Ferroviária - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWT
- Palmeiras Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
07.12.25	Palmeiras - Corinthians	5:1 ✺
04.12.25	Palmeiras - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
20.11.25	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	2:4 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
16.11.25	Palmeiras - Taubaté	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista Women
07.12.25	Palmeiras - Corinthians	5:1
10.11.25	Palmeiras - Corinthians	0:0
03.08.25	Corinthians - Palmeiras	1:0
Brasileiro Women
12.04.25	Corinthians - Palmeiras	1:1
Brazilian Paulista Women
20.11.24	Palmeiras - Corinthians	3:1 penalties
15.11.24	Corinthians - Palmeiras	1:0
Brasileiro Women
08.09.24	Corinthians - Palmeiras	1:2

Corinthians - Palmeiras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide