Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Alfredo Schürig (Sao Paulo) 🌤️ ...


	Corinthians U20		Palmeiras U20

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.60	1.80
	3.60	3.60	1.75
	3.84	3.81	1.89
	3.69	3.83	1.8	Watch
	3.80	3.75	1.82
	3.73	3.68	1.78
	3.60	3.65	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.41)	3.7 ↑ (3.69)	1.81 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians U20
24.8%

Draw
24.7%

Palmeiras U20
50.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27%

24.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

24.6%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Palmeiras U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Corinthians U20 - Palmeiras U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Correa (G) 8. Amorim Gui 7. Bahia (C) 5. Caragua 4. Dias L. 10. Dieguinho 9. Gui Negao 6. Joaozinho 11. Luiz Fernando 2. Pellegrin 3. Yago Melo	1. Kauan Lima (G) 6. Andre Lucas 7. Fabiano 10. Felipe Teresa 9. Heittor Vinicius 2. Joao Gabriel 5. Joao Paulo 4. Kone M. 3. Matheus Pimenta 8. Rafael Coutinho (C) 11. Victor Gabriel
Substitutes
15. Christian Oliveira 17. Dodo 21. Favela 20. Gustavo 14. Lorenzo 22. Luiz Eduardo 18. Nicollas 12. Pietro 16. Pires S. 19. Ribeiro C. 23. Thomas P. 13. Vitor J.	21. Antonio 19. Juan Gabriel 16. Kaua N. 17. Kidani G. 15. Luis Arthur 212. Luis Saboia 23. Mendonca J. 13. Pedro Pereira 18. Romildo 14. Souza L. F. (G) 25. Torres J. 20. Vinicius

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Heittor Vinicius 🟨,
38', Victor Gabriel 🟨,
40', Caragua 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Caragua ↓, Thomas P. ↑,
65', Heittor Vinicius ↓, Kidani G. ↑,
73', Amorim Gui ↓, Favela ↑,
73', Pellegrin ↓, Vitor J. ↑,
81', Joao Gabriel ↓, Luis Saboia ↑,
81', Felipe Teresa ↓, Vinicius ↑,
82', Luiz Fernando ↓, Nicollas ↑,
85', Thomas P. 🟨,
90', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians U20 won 0.

Recent performances by Corinthians U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Palmeiras U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Palmeiras U20 is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Corinthians U20 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:25. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians U20 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.07.26	Corinthians U20 - Sertãozinho U20	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
01.07.26	Juventude U20 - Corinthians U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
28.06.26	Santos U20 - Corinthians U20	0:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
25.06.26	Corinthians U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	2:2 ✺
20.06.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Corinthians U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLTTW
- Palmeiras U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.07.26	Porto Football Ltda U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
01.07.26	Palmeiras U20 - Cuiabá U20	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
27.06.26	Palmeiras U20 - Guarani U20	4:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
25.06.26	Fluminense U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:3 ✺
20.06.26	Palmeiras U20 - América MG U20	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
19.05.26	Corinthians U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:1
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.07.25	Palmeiras U20 - Corinthians U20	3:0
Brasileiro U20
24.04.25	Palmeiras U20 - Corinthians U20	2:0
Brazilian Paulista U20
20.10.24	Palmeiras U20 - Corinthians U20	2:1
12.10.24	Corinthians U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:1
Brasileiro U20
09.04.24	Palmeiras U20 - Corinthians U20	2:0
15.08.23	Corinthians U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:1

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