The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Corinthians U20 56%
Draw 24.4%
Guarani U20 19.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.8%
24.6%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.2%
23.2%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Guarani U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani U20 than the current prediction. (-2%)
Corinthians U20 - Guarani U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+4', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 2-2.
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).
Corinthians U20 has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Guarani U20 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Corinthians U20 carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Corinthians U20 in today's match, at odds of 1.6.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians U20 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Corinthians U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 2:2 per game).
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