Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 23

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Nou Municipal de Cornella (Cornella de Llobregat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Esport3, Footballclub


	Cornellà		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.9	2
	4.35	2.95	1.99
	4.06	3.02	1.96	Watch
	4.04	3.08	1.96
	3.9	2.9	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (2.86)	2.97 ↓ (3.2)	1.98 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cornellà
22.7%

Draw
30.9%

Sabadell
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.3%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

27.6%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cornellà's form might have worsened.

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sabadell's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cornellà, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sabadell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cornellà - Sabadell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Forcen L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
66', 1 - 1, Cortes S. (Pen),
83', 1 - 2, Martinez R. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 2, Losa J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cornellà won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sabadell will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Cornellà won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:12 (average 0.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Cornellà won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Cornellà
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.02.25	Sant Andreu - Cornellà	4:0 ✺
02.02.25	Atlético Baleares - Cornellà	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Cornellà - Lleida	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Cornellà	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Cornellà - Andratx	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LTTWW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.02.25	Sabadell - Lleida	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Sabadell - Andratx	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Espanyol B - Sabadell	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Sabadell - Torrent	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.10.24	Sabadell - Cornellà	1:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.04.24	Sabadell - Cornellà	2:1
14.01.24	Cornellà - Sabadell	0:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.05.23	Cornellà - Sabadell	1:0
11.09.22	Sabadell - Cornellà	1:0
14.05.22	Sabadell - Cornellà	2:1
07.11.21	Cornellà - Sabadell	0:1

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