Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Correggese		Sasso Marconi

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.35	4.35
	2.23	3.36	2.88	Watch
	1.75	3.38	4.37
	1.82	3.35	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.22)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	3.9 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Correggese
49%

Draw
27.4%

Sasso Marconi
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

28.1%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.7%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Correggese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Correggese's performance.

Sasso Marconi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sasso Marconi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correggese than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Correggese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sasso Marconi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Correggese - Sasso Marconi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Ferraresi S. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Gamberini G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Correggese won 3.

Correggese is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sasso Marconi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sasso Marconi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Correggese will win today's game, with odds of 2.24.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Correggese won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Correggese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Correggese Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Correggese - Prato	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.10.25	Pistoiese - Correggese	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Correggese - Pro Palazzolo	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Correggese - Imolese	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
05.10.25	Imolese - Correggese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WTWWT
- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.10.25	Sasso Marconi - Crema	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Piacenza - Sasso Marconi	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sasso Marconi - Pro Sesto	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Pro Palazzolo - Sasso Marconi	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Sasso Marconi - Trevigliese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
04.05.22	Sasso Marconi - Correggese	0:3
12.12.21	Correggese - Sasso Marconi	3:2
21.02.21	Correggese - Sasso Marconi	2:1
27.09.20	Sasso Marconi - Correggese	2:2
17.11.19	Sasso Marconi - Correggese	2:2
17.01.18	Sasso Marconi - Correggese	0:0
13.09.17	Correggese - Sasso Marconi	0:2

Correggese - Sasso Marconi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide