Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 7

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pistoiese		Correggese

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.25	12.00
	1.17	5.35	11.50
	1.19	5.92	9.62
	1.2	5.8	11.5	Watch
	1.17	5.85	9.50
	1.20	6.02	14.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.26)	5.7 ↑ (5.1)	11.39 ↑ (8.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
76.1%

Draw
15.9%

Correggese
8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72%

17.7%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Correggese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Pistoiese - Correggese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 1st in the Promotion and 8th).

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Pistoiese may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Correggese has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The betting markets point to Pistoiese as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Pistoiese has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:4 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pistoiese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pistoiese	9	8	0	1	20:3	17	24
12	Correggese	9	3	2	4	8:13	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Sestri Levante - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.10.26	Casatese - Pistoiese	0:3 ✺
27.09.26	Pistoiese - SantAngelo	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Varesina - Pistoiese	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Pistoiese - Arconatese	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW
- Correggese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.10.26	Correggese - Pavia	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - Correggese	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Correggese - Casatese	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Correggese - Varesina	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Correggese - SantAngelo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
22.02.26	Correggese - Pistoiese	0:3
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.12.25	Correggese - Pistoiese	0:2
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.10.25	Pistoiese - Correggese	1:1
07.05.23	Correggese - Pistoiese	3:2
21.12.22	Pistoiese - Correggese	1:0

Pistoiese - Correggese