Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Cortes		Subiza

	1	X	2
	2.92	3	2.3
	2.97	2.99	2.34
	3.01	3.03	2.35
	3	2.95	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.01)	2.99 ↓ (3.01)	2.33 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cortes
30.6%

Draw
30.4%

Subiza
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cortes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Subiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Subiza aligns with the current prediction.

Cortes - Subiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Ibanez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, Gines J. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cortes won 1.

Recent performances by Cortes have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Subiza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cortes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Subiza has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cortes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cortes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
21.11.25	San Juan - Cortes	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Cortes - Beti Onak	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Cortes - Ardoi	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Beti Kozkor - Cortes	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Cortes - Peña Sport	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLW
- CD Subiza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
23.11.25	Subiza - Oberena	4:0 ✺
09.11.25	Subiza - Bidezarra	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Txantrea - Subiza	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Subiza - Pamplona	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Subiza - Artajonés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
03.02.24	Cortes - Subiza	1:1
16.09.23	Subiza - Cortes	1:0
16.04.23	Subiza - Cortes	1:0
10.12.22	Cortes - Subiza	1:3
05.02.22	Cortes - Subiza	1:0
07.09.19	Subiza - Cortes	1:1

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