Match Info

Date: 16 January 2022, Sunday


	Coruchense		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.48	2.9	2.65
	2.6	3	2.55
	2.59	3.15	2.77
	2.53	3.1	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.37)	3.02 ↑ (2.94)	2.63 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruchense
35.3%

Draw
30.1%

Operário Ferroviario
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

31.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

21.1%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruchense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruchense than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coruchense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Operário Ferroviario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coruchense - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Coruchense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coruchense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Coruchense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.01.22	Elvas - Coruchense	0:1 ✺
19.12.21	Coruchense - Loures	2:3 ✺
12.12.21	Coruchense - Belenenses	1:2 ✺
05.12.21	Sporting Ideal - Coruchense	2:3 ✺
28.11.21	Coruchense - Sacavenense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWL
- Operário Ferroviario
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.12.21	Sintrense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Operário Ferroviario - Pero Pinheiro	1:0 ✺
05.12.21	Elvas - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
28.11.21	Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.11.21	Operário Ferroviario - Loures	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.10.21	Operário Ferroviario - Coruchense	0:0

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