Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 21

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Coruchense		Loures

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	1.76	3.15	4.1
	2.26	2.95	3.44
	1.99	3.18	3.72
	2.06	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.79)	3.1 ↓ (3.38)	3.61 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruchense
45.3%

Draw
29.4%

Loures
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.7%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

21%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruchense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coruchense's form might have worsened.

Loures has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruchense than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coruchense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loures than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Coruchense - Loures Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Coruchense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Loures is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Coruchense is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coruchense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Coruchense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Coruchense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	Pero Pinheiro - Coruchense	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Arronches Benfica - Coruchense	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Coruchense - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	União de Santarém - Coruchense	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Coruchense - SB Castelo Branco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLTW
- Grupo Sportivo de Loures
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	Loures - Sintrense	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	União de Santarém - Loures	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Loures - SB Castelo Branco	1:3 ✺
29.01.23	Loures - Marinhense	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	1 Dezembro - Loures	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	Loures - Coruchense	1:0
19.12.21	Coruchense - Loures	2:3
29.08.21	Loures - Coruchense	3:1
04.03.18	Loures - Coruchense	1:0
29.10.17	Coruchense - Loures	1:0

Coruchense - Loures: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide