Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 8

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu (General Pico)


	Costa Brava		Kimberley de Mar del Plata

	1	X	2
	1.75	3	4.6
	1.75	3	4.85
	1.72	3.04	5.07
	1.80	2.95	5.56	Watch
	1.8	3.12	5.2
	1.77	3.25	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.79)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	4.94 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Costa Brava
51.7%

Draw
29.8%

Kimberley de Mar del Plata
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

24.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Costa Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kimberley de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Costa Brava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kimberley de Mar del Plata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Costa Brava - Kimberley de Mar del Plata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva L. (G) 6. Alferez B. 8. Alles A. 10. Amieva J. 4. Arellano S. 2. Garoni J. 9. Gutierrez J. 5. Lara M. 3. Pacheco N. 11. Rivas M. 7. Vivani J.	1. Aguayo D. (G) 6. Bacigalupe S. 9. Cerica E. 8. Chavez S. 4. Loscalso T. 10. Miori M. 2. Rojas F. 3. Sosa H. 7. Ullua E. 11. Vazquez S. 5. Zarate J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Garoni J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Gutierrez J. ⚽,
60', Chavez S. ↓, Miori M. ↑,
60', Cos B. ↓, Rios R. ↑,
60', Rivadeneira M. ↓, Alles A. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Alles A. ⚽,
70', Garoni J. ↓, Amieva J. ↑,
70', Vivani J. ↓, Gomez T. ↑,
70', Zarate J. ↓, Vazquez A. ↑,
70', Ullua E. ↓, Manas F. ↑,
78', Amieva J. 🟥,
78', Vazquez S. 🟥,
80', Rivas M. ↓, Montero B. ↑,
82', Avila S. ↓, Pereyra A. ↑,
88', Rojas F. 🟨,
90+3', Loscalso T. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Costa Brava is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kimberley has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Costa Brava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Costa Brava is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.09.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Costa Brava	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	Costa Brava - Cipolletti	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Costa Brava - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Costa Brava	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLTT
- CA Kimberley de Mar del Plata
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.08.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Deportivo Rincón - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Cipolletti - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	3:1 ✺
25.07.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

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