Match Info

WORLD: WORLD CUP WOMEN - ROUND 3

Date: 31 July 2023, Monday

Location: Waikato Stadium (Hamilton)

Referee: Karboubi B. (Mar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Norway	NRK, Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV2
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Costa Rica W		Zambia W

	1	X	2
	3	3.8	2.15
	2.9	3.6	2.2
	3.05	3.7	2.2
	3	3.6	2.23
	3.12	3.8	2.22
	3.05	3.64	2.2
	2.95	3.75	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.6)	3.7 ↑ (3.07)	2.2 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Costa Rica W
31.4%

Draw
25.6%

Zambia W
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.3%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

30.9%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Costa Rica W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Zambia W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zambia W's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Rica W than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Costa Rica W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zambia W than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zambia W, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Costa Rica W - Zambia W Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Costa Rica will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Zambia will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Costa Rica: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vega D. S. (G) 20. Villalobos F. 4. Benavidez M. 5. del Campo V. 3. Coto M. 10. Villalobos G. 16. Alvarado K. (C) 11. Rodriguez R. 7. Herrera M. 21. Scott S. 14. Chinchilla P.	1. Musonda C. (G) 8. Belemu M. 15. Musase A. 3. Mweemba L. 13. Tembo M. 4. Banda S. 20. Chanda H. 12. Katongo E. 21. Chitundu A. 11. Banda B. (C) 17. Kundananji R.
Substitutes
8. Campos Alvarado M. 12. Elizondo M. 22. Estrada Carvajal C. 15. Granados C. 2. Guillen G. 1. Perez G. (G) 19. Pinell A. 9. Salas M. 6. Sanchez C. 18. Tapia P. (G) 13. Valenciano E. 17. Varela S.	22. Banda E. 7. Lubanji O. O. 14. Lungu I. 16. Lungu L. (G) 19. Mapepa S. 9. Mubanga H. 5. Mulenga M. 23. Phiri V. 18. Sakala E. (G) 10. Selemani C. 2. Soko J. 6. Wilombe M.
Coaches
Valverde A.	Mwape B.

Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Zambia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Costa Rica W
FIFA World Cup Women
26.07.23	Japan W - Costa Rica W	2:0 ✺
21.07.23	Spain W - Costa Rica W	3:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
14.07.23	Costa Rica W - South Africa W	0:2 ✺
Central American and Caribbean Games Women
03.07.23	Costa Rica W - Haiti W	2:0 ✺
01.07.23	Centro Caribe W - Costa Rica W	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL
- Zambia W
FIFA World Cup Women
26.07.23	Spain W - Zambia W	5:0 ✺
22.07.23	Zambia W - Japan W	0:5 ✺
Friendly International Women
07.07.23	Germany W - Zambia W	2:3 ✺
30.06.23	Switzerland W - Zambia W	3:3 ✺
22.06.23	Ireland W - Zambia W	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 101.7 LLWTL

Upcoming Matches