Match Info

Mocambola - Round 17

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday


	Costa do Sol		Black Bulls

	1	X	2
	2.60	2.87	2.55
	2.60	2.80	2.55
	2.72	2.67	2.72
	2.71	2.76	2.76	Watch
	2.65	2.60	2.65
	2.69	2.71	2.69
	2.65	2.75	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.6)	2.74 ↓ (2.8)	2.65 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Costa do Sol
33.6%

Draw
32.7%

Black Bulls
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

31.5%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

30.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Costa do Sol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Black Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Costa do Sol than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Black Bulls than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Costa do Sol won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Costa do Sol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Costa do Sol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Costa do Sol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Black Bulls	19	13	5	1	28:9	19	44
2	Costa do Sol	19	11	4	4	26:12	14	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Costa do Sol
Mozambique Moçambola
22.08.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Costa do Sol	0:1 ✺
19.08.26	Baía de Pemba - Costa do Sol	1:0 ✺
11.08.26	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Nampula	0:0 ✺
05.08.26	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Nacala	3:0 ✺
19.07.26	Costa do Sol - ENH Vilankulo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLTWW
- Associação Black Bulls
Mozambique Moçambola
21.08.26	Black Bulls - Maxaquene	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Ferroviário de Nampula - Black Bulls	3:0 ✺
05.08.26	Black Bulls - AD Pemba	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Black Bulls - Ferroviario Lichinga	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	ENH Vilankulo - Black Bulls	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mozambique Moçambola
12.05.26	Black Bulls - Costa do Sol	0:0
29.06.25	Black Bulls - Costa do Sol	2:1
10.08.24	Black Bulls - Costa do Sol	3:1
21.04.24	Costa do Sol - Black Bulls	2:3
29.07.23	Black Bulls - Costa do Sol	3:1
23.04.23	Costa do Sol - Black Bulls	0:1
04.12.22	Black Bulls - Costa do Sol	3:0

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