Match Info

Mocambola - Round 9

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday


	Ferroviario Lichinga		Black Bulls

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2
	7.42	5.00	1.33	Watch
	3.19	3.34	2.06
	3.18	3.46	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (3.17)	3.8 ↑ (3.4)	1.86 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviario Lichinga
22.9%

Draw
25.3%

Black Bulls
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

26.6%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviario Lichinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferroviario Lichinga's form might have worsened.

Black Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Black Bulls's recent form is better than expected.

Ferroviario Lichinga - Black Bulls Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Macandza D. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 2 - 1, Mario I. ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 4).

Ferroviario Lichinga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Black Bulls is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferroviario Lichinga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviario Lichinga
Mozambique Moçambola
10.08.25	Baía de Pemba - Ferroviario Lichinga	2:2 ✺
23.06.25	Ferroviario Lichinga - ENH Vilankulo	1:1 ✺
19.05.25	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviario Lichinga	1:1 ✺
23.09.24	Costa do Sol - Ferroviario Lichinga	3:1 ✺
19.08.24	Ferroviario Lichinga - UD Songo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTTLL
- Associação Black Bulls
Mozambique Moçambola
09.08.25	Black Bulls - Ferroviário de Maputo	0:0 ✺
30.07.25	Black Bulls - Ferroviário de Nacala	3:2 ✺
29.06.25	Black Bulls - Costa do Sol	2:1 ✺
23.06.25	Desportivo Matola - Black Bulls	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	Baía de Pemba - Black Bulls	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mozambique Moçambola
12.07.24	Black Bulls - Ferroviario Lichinga	2:2
24.10.22	Black Bulls - Ferroviario Lichinga	3:0
27.06.21	Black Bulls - Ferroviario Lichinga	4:1

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