Match Info

Mocambola - Round 12

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Costa do Sol		Ferroviário de Nacala

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.00	6.50
	1.58	3.15	6.1
	1.6	3.26	6.12	Watch
	1.55	3.2	5.85
	1.57	3.18	6.64
	1.57	3.1	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	6.24 ↑ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Costa do Sol
57%

Draw
28.5%

Ferroviário de Nacala
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

29.6%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Costa do Sol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Ferroviário de Nacala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Nacala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).

In this match, Costa do Sol is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Costa do Sol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Costa do Sol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Costa do Sol	19	11	4	4	26:12	14	37
9	Ferroviario Nacala	17	5	5	7	8:12	-4	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Costa do Sol
Mozambique Moçambola
19.07.26	Costa do Sol - ENH Vilankulo	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Ferroviario Lichinga - Costa do Sol	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Costa do Sol - UD Songo	2:2 ✺
16.06.26	Costa do Sol - Chingale de Tete	1:0 ✺
20.05.26	Sofala - Costa do Sol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWT
- Ferroviário de Nacala
Mozambique Moçambola
03.07.26	Ferroviário da Beira - Ferroviário de Nacala	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Sofala - Ferroviário de Nacala	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Ferroviário de Nacala - Ferroviário de Maputo	Canceled ✺
28.09.25	Textáfrica - Ferroviário de Nacala	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Baía de Pemba - Ferroviário de Nacala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LT?LT

Latest Head to Head

Mozambique Moçambola
01.07.23	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Nacala	5:1
02.10.21	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Nacala	1:0

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