Match Info

Mocambola - Round 9

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Ferroviário da Beira		Ferroviário de Nacala

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.00	5.50
	1.68	3	5.5
	1.68	2.97	5.5
	1.78	3.06	4.87	Watch
	1.74	2.9	4.65
	1.8	3	4.71
	1.75	2.95	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.67)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)	5.06 ↓ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário da Beira
52.1%

Draw
30.1%

Ferroviário de Nacala
17.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55%

29.6%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário da Beira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ferroviário de Nacala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Ferroviário da Beira - Ferroviário de Nacala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).

Ferroviário is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ferroviário may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferroviário is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ferroviario Beira	23	11	7	5	26:17	9	40
8	Ferroviario Nacala	21	7	6	8	13:16	-3	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário da Beira
Mozambique Moçambola
28.06.26	Ferroviário da Beira - Ferroviário de Nampula	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário da Beira	0:1 ✺
17.06.26	Black Bulls - Ferroviário da Beira	0:0 ✺
21.05.26	Ferroviário da Beira - Maxaquene	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Ferroviário da Beira - UD Songo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TWTTW
- Ferroviário de Nacala
Mozambique Moçambola
29.06.26	Sofala - Ferroviário de Nacala	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Ferroviário de Nacala - Ferroviário de Maputo	Canceled ✺
28.09.25	Textáfrica - Ferroviário de Nacala	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Baía de Pemba - Ferroviário de Nacala	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário de Nacala	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 T?LTT

Ferroviário da Beira - Ferroviário de Nacala