Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Covadonga		Praviano

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.85	6.3
	1.48	3.89	6.55
	1.00	12.76	25.00	Watch
	1.43	3.82	7.29
	1.38	4.3	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)	5.72 ↑ (3.75)	10.47 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covadonga
73.3%

Draw
17.3%

Praviano
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

24%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Covadonga's performance.

Praviano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Praviano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covadonga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Praviano than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Praviano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Covadonga - Praviano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Tineo Pablo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 🟥,
72', 2 - 0, ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 3.

Covadonga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Praviano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Covadonga has had a series of away games.

In this match, Covadonga is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Covadonga won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
05.10.25	Lenense - Covadonga	1:4 ✺
28.09.25	Covadonga - San Martín	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tuilla - Covadonga	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Avilés Stadium - Covadonga	0:4 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Estradense - Covadonga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWTWL
- CD Praviano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
05.10.25	Praviano - Avilés Stadium	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Llanera - Praviano	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Praviano - Real Titánico	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Llanes - Praviano	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Praviano - Sporting de Gijón B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
16.02.25	Covadonga - Praviano	1:0
12.03.23	Praviano - Covadonga	2:2
06.11.22	Covadonga - Praviano	2:0
17.04.22	Covadonga - Praviano	2:0
08.12.21	Praviano - Covadonga	0:0
22.12.18	Covadonga - Praviano	2:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
28.10.17	Covadonga - Praviano	2:0

Covadonga - Praviano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide