Match Info

League One - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Balmoral Stadium (Aberdeen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cove Rangers		Peterhead

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.30	2.25
	2.40	3.10	2.60
	2.35	3.40	2.55
	2.49	3.41	2.72
	2.97	3.35	2.3	Watch
	2.40	3.35	2.60
	2.77	3.48	2.38	Watch
	2.50	3.20	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.37)	3.32 ↓ (3.34)	2.49 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cove Rangers
35.7%

Draw
27.6%

Peterhead
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27.8%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

28.4%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Peterhead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Cove Rangers - Peterhead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mutch R. (G) 2. Bisland L. 5. Souter M. 6. Mercer J. 7. Harrington R. 11. McAllister R. 10. Barry M. 14. Chalmers J. 16. Teasdale J. 26. White J. (C) 77. Maguire C.	1. Newman J. (G) 2. Strachan D. 5. Brown J. (C) 46. Kerr J. 3. Davies-Browne T. 19. Pawlett P. 21. Forrest D. 18. To Z. 24. Searle J. 17. Smith C. 22. Ross S.
Substitutes
21. Demus B. (G) 8. Francis-Burrell A. 20. Fraser A. 9. Oladipo D. 18. Oppong E. 32. Parker L. 4. Ross D. 17. Stephen T.	14. Carnwath A. 16. Carrol L. 11. Dunne C. 29. Luyeye B. 23. Mackie F. 13. McKelvie L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Mercer J. 🟨,
45+3', Pawlett P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Teasdale J. ⚽, McAllister R. (A),
60', Pawlett P. ↓, Mackie F. ↑,
67', Davies-Browne T. ↓, Carnwath A. ↑,
74', Strachan D. ↓, Carrol L. ↑,
80', Chalmers J. ↓, Francis-Burrell A. ↑,
80', Maguire C. ↓, Oladipo D. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, White J. ⚽, Barry M. (A),
85', Kerr J. 🟨,
86', McAllister R. 🟨,
86', Barry M. ↓, Oppong E. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Oppong E. ⚽, Oladipo D. (A),
90+1', Teasdale J. ↓, Lindo A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cove won 2.

Cove has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Peterhead is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Cove has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cove won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cove won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Peterhead: 0.32% Cove Rangers: 0.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Peterhead	9	2	1	6	7:16	-9	7
10	Cove Rangers	9	1	2	6	8:15	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Cove Rangers - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.17%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Peterhead - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.04%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
15.08.26	East Kilbride - Cove Rangers	3:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Stirling Albion - Cove Rangers	4:2 ✺
Scottish League One
08.08.26	East Fife - Cove Rangers	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Cove Rangers - Airdrieonians	0:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Dumbarton - Cove Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Peterhead
Scottish League One
15.08.26	Peterhead - East Fife	2:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Banks O Dee - Peterhead	1:5 ✺
Scottish League One
08.08.26	Queen of the South - Peterhead	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Peterhead - Ross County	0:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Peterhead - Kilmarnock	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
07.03.26	Cove Rangers - Peterhead	2:1
27.12.25	Peterhead - Cove Rangers	0:4
01.11.25	Cove Rangers - Peterhead	1:2
23.08.25	Peterhead - Cove Rangers	3:1
Club Friendly
11.07.23	Cove Rangers - Peterhead	1:1
Scottish League One
05.03.22	Cove Rangers - Peterhead	5:2
02.01.22	Peterhead - Cove Rangers	0:1

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