Match Info

League One - Round 2

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Palmerston Park (Dumfries)


	Queen of the South		Peterhead

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.40	2.20
	2.75	3.30	2.20
	2.55	3.30	2.35
	2.89	3.37	2.50
	2.58	3.52	2.49	Watch
	2.85	3.10	2.45
	2.74	3.40	2.27	Watch
	2.75	3.35	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.49)	3.34 ↓ (3.65)	2.34 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queen of the South
33.5%

Draw
27.4%

Peterhead
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

25.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

24.5%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queen of the South has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Peterhead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queen of the South, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Queen of the South - Peterhead Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Peterhead will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mehmet D. (G) 2. Goldie C. 17. Ellis R. 15. Rogerson N. 3. Charters T. 4. Stott J. (C) 7. Smith L. 8. MacKenzie Z. 16. Coughlin C. 11. Dair B. 10. Clark N.	1. Newman J. (G) 14. Carnwath A. 5. Brown J. (C) 46. Kerr J. 2. Strachan D. 21. Forrest D. 6. Yule B. 7. Keir L. 34. Tekle R. 22. Ross S. 17. Smith C.
Substitutes
18. Davis A. 25. Gray B. 14. Johnstone B. 32. McColm R. 5. McQueen C. 26. Morton B. 34. Petry S. (G) 29. Thomson J.	16. Carrol L. 3. Davies-Browne T. 10. Jacobs L. 29. Luyeye B. 23. Mackie F. 13. McKelvie L. (G) 24. Searle J. 18. To Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Smith C. ⚽, Keir L. (A),
44', Kerr J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Keir L. ↓, To Z. ↑,
54', Tekle R. ↓, Jacobs L. ↑,
63', Carnwath A. ↓, Davies-Browne T. ↑,
65', Dair B. ↓, Johnstone B. ↑,
76', Smith C. ↓, Searle J. ↑,
89', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queen of the South won 2.

Queen of the South is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Peterhead has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Queen of the South won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Queen of the South won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Peterhead: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Peterhead	9	2	1	6	7:16	-9	7
9	Queen of South	9	2	1	6	10:27	-17	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queen of the South
Scottish League One
01.08.26	East Kilbride - Queen of the South	5:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Queens Park - Queen of the South	3:1 ✺
22.07.26	Queen of the South - Aberdeen	1:4 ✺
18.07.26	Brora Rangers - Queen of the South	0:3 ✺
11.07.26	Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Peterhead
Scottish League One
01.08.26	Peterhead - Ross County	0:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Peterhead - Kilmarnock	1:0 penalties ✺
21.07.26	Raith Rovers - Peterhead	1:0 ✺
14.07.26	Elgin City - Peterhead	1:3 ✺
11.07.26	Peterhead - Hamilton Academical	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
18.04.26	Peterhead - Queen of the South	1:1
28.02.26	Queen of the South - Peterhead	0:2
18.10.25	Peterhead - Queen of the South	3:0
16.08.25	Queen of the South - Peterhead	4:0
01.04.23	Queen of the South - Peterhead	2:1
28.01.23	Peterhead - Queen of the South	1:3
15.10.22	Queen of the South - Peterhead	2:0

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