Match Info

Date: 4 September 2021, Saturday


	Cowdenbeath		Alloa Athletic

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.4
	6.75	4.33	1.36
	6.8	4.4	1.36
	5.4	4.4	1.44
	6.6	4.52	1.45
	6	4.33	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.26 ↓ (6.8)	4.41 ↓ (4.78)	1.41 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cowdenbeath
14.6%

Draw
20.7%

Alloa Athletic
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

18.9%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

10.5%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cowdenbeath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cowdenbeath than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cowdenbeath, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (-27.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alloa Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cowdenbeath - Alloa Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Cowdenbeath is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alloa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alloa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alloa is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cowdenbeath won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Cowdenbeath won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cowdenbeath
Scottish League Two
31.08.21	Cowdenbeath - Stranraer	1:2 ✺
28.08.21	Cowdenbeath - Annan Athletic	1:3 ✺
21.08.21	Stenhousemuir - Cowdenbeath	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
10.08.21	Fraserburgh - Cowdenbeath	0:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
07.08.21	Cowdenbeath - Elgin City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLTWW
- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
21.08.21	Alloa Athletic - Queens Park	1:1 ✺
14.08.21	Clyde - Alloa Athletic	2:1 ✺
07.08.21	Alloa Athletic - East Fife	3:1 ✺
31.07.21	Peterhead - Alloa Athletic	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
24.07.21	Raith Rovers - Alloa Athletic	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
13.07.21	Alloa Athletic - Cowdenbeath	0:1
Club Friendly
09.07.16	Cowdenbeath - Alloa Athletic	1:2
Scottish Football Championship
02.05.15	Alloa Athletic - Cowdenbeath	3:0
21.02.15	Cowdenbeath - Alloa Athletic	0:2
18.10.14	Alloa Athletic - Cowdenbeath	2:3
23.08.14	Cowdenbeath - Alloa Athletic	0:3
08.03.14	Cowdenbeath - Alloa Athletic	2:2

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