The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Raith Rovers 58.3%
Draw 25.6%
Alloa Athletic 16%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.2%
28.9%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
28.7%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raith Rovers's performance.
Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alloa Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raith Rovers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alloa Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Raith Rovers - Alloa Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Raith will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rae J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 6. O'Connor D. 4. Hanlon P. 26. Stevenson L. 20. Brown S. 14. Mullin J. 29. Nsio P. 18. McMullan P. 9. Hamilton J. 23. Easton D.
31. McFarlane L. (G) 4. Hetherington S. 6. Dewar C. 23. Devine D. 2. Taggart S. 8. Roberts K. 20. O'Donnell C. 12. Scougall S. 27. Stewart L. 10. Rankin L. 29. Burnside C.
Substitutes
19. Gentles J. 24. Glavin A. (G) 8. Matthews R. 25. Montagu K. 2. Rowe J. 11. Smith C. 3. Wilson E.
28. Adamson C. 19. Buchanan S. 9. Donnelly L. 24. Foster O. 17. Gallagher C. 15. McKay D. 1. Ogayi T. (G) 11. Orsi K. 18. Sammon C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Doherty J. ⚽, McMullan P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rankin L. ↓, Sammon C. ↑,
65', Scougall S. ↓, Adamson C. ↑,
68', Nsio P. ↓, Matthews R. ↑,
68', McMullan P. ↓, Wilson E. ↑,
78', Mullin J. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
78', Hamilton J. ↓, Gentles J. ↑,
81', Burnside C. ↓, Buchanan S. ↑,
83', Brown S. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
85', Roberts K. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 5.
Raith has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Alloa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Alloa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Raith is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Raith won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Raith won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
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Rae J. (G) 
Doherty J. 
Nsio P. 
Burnside C. 
Gentles J. 
Ogayi T. (G) 
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