The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crato 14.8%
Draw 21.5%
Atlético Cearense 63.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.7%
26.7%
45.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
17.5%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crato's form might have worsened.
Atlético Cearense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Cearense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crato than the current prediction. (+27.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (-33.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Cearense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
22.2%
66.7%
Crato - Atlético Cearense Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Crato will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Atlético Cearense will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Cearense: 44.9% – 88.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8 in the zone Relegation).
Crato is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Atlético Cearense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Atlético Cearense will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Crato won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-9.