Match Info

Date: 24 January 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Crato		Atlético Cearense

	1	X	2
	7.75	4.8	1.3
	5.1	3.5	1.58
	4.3	3.7	1.55
	3.59	3.72	1.77
	6	4	1.44
	11.25	6.4	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.33 ↑ (3.26)	4.35 ↑ (3.38)	1.47 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crato
14.8%

Draw
21.5%

Atlético Cearense
63.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.7%

26.7%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

17.5%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crato's form might have worsened.

Atlético Cearense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Cearense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crato than the current prediction. (+27.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (-33.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Cearense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

Crato - Atlético Cearense Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Crato will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Atlético Cearense will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Cearense: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8 in the zone Relegation).

Crato is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Cearense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Cearense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Crato won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crato EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
21.01.22	Crato - Iguatu	1:3 ✺
18.01.22	Caucaia - Crato	3:1 ✺
15.01.22	Crato - Pacajus	0:1 ✺
12.01.22	Crato - Maracanã	0:0 ✺
09.01.22	Icasa - Crato	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LLLTW
- Atlético Cearense
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
21.01.22	Atlético Cearense - Caucaia	0:1 ✺
18.01.22	Iguatu - Atlético Cearense	4:0 ✺
15.01.22	Atlético Cearense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:3 ✺
12.01.22	Atlético Cearense - Icasa	0:0 ✺
09.01.22	Maracanã - Atlético Cearense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
09.05.21	Atlético Cearense - Crato	7:1
01.03.21	Atlético Cearense - Crato	2:1

Crato - Atlético Cearense