Match Info
Serie D - Round 4Date: 26 April 2026, SundayLocation: Domingão (Horizonte)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Atlético Cearense |
|
Ferroviário Fortaleza |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
5.7 |
3.3 |
1.58 |
|
 |
6.66 |
3.8 |
1.52 |
|
 |
5.98 |
3.44 |
1.59 |
 Watch |
 |
6 |
3.4 |
1.5 |
|
 |
6.01 |
3.76 |
1.57 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.07 ↑
(5.68) |
3.54 ↑
(3.42) |
1.55 ↓
(1.57) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atlético Cearense
15.1% | Draw
25.9% | Ferroviário Fortaleza
59% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Cearense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-0.5%)Atlético Cearense - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Thalisson ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 0 - 2, Ciel ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cearense won 1.Atlético Cearense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).Ferroviário is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Ferroviário may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Ferroviário is seen as the favorite.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cearense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1.2:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Cearense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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