Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo Amadio Soldi (Cremona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia


	Cremonese U20		Napoli U20

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.1	2.98
	2.23	3.39	3.07
	2.2	3.1	2.8
	2.28	3.29	3.08
	2.25	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.68)	3.2 ↓ (3.37)	3.01 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese U20
40.9%

Draw
28.6%

Napoli U20
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

27.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cremonese U20's performance.

Napoli U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Napoli U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese U20 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cremonese U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli U20 than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cremonese U20 - Napoli U20 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese U20 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cassin M. (G) 21. Biolchi P. 11. Faye N. 47. Gashi E. 13. Herzuah G. 8. Lamorte A. 15. Lickunas A. . Marsi S. 24. Pavesi D. 36. Zilio A.	95. Spinelli D. (G) 30. Camelio U. 4. Cimmaruta A. 98. De Chiara E. 44. Eletto F. 5. Gambardella V. 6. Garofalo C. 45. Gorica K. 36. Lo Scalzo L. 97. Olivieri A. 11. Smeraldi A.
Substitutes
73. Bassi E. 16. Bozza M. 72. Jenzeri G. 12. Malovec A. (G) 28. Murante A. . Novati L. (G) 3. Patitucci C. 4. Patrignani G. 55. Prendi D. 99. Raballo A. 9. Ragnoli Galli F.	96. Barido F. 10. Borriello S. 2. Colella R. 17. D'Angelo G. 3. De Luca A. 8. De Martino S. 70. Genovese M. 7. Nardozi M. . Prisco V. 1. Pugliese C. (G) 9. Raggioli C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, De Chiara E. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Gorica K. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Pavesi D. ⚽,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 🟨,
62', Cimmaruta A. ↓, Prisco V. ↑,
64', Lamorte A. ↓, Ragnoli Galli F. ↑,
70', Camelio U. ↓, Barido F. ↑,
70', De Chiara E. 🟨,
84', Herzuah G. ↓, Patrignani G. ↑,
85', Lickunas A. ↓, Jenzeri G. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+1', Biolchi P. ↓, Murante A. ↑,
90+1', Pavesi D. ↓, Bozza M. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Gashi E. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Primavera 2 and 12).

Cremonese U20 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Napoli U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cremonese U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cremonese U20
Italian Primavera 1
12.01.26	Roma U20 - Cremonese U20	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Cremonese U20 - Torino U20	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Bologna U20 - Cremonese U20	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Cremonese U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Atalanta U20 - Cremonese U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLTT
- Napoli U20
Italian Primavera 1
10.01.26	Napoli U20 - Lazio U20	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
07.01.26	Fiorentina U20 - Napoli U20	3:1 ✺
Italian Primavera 1
21.12.25	Napoli U20 - Milan U20	1:1 ✺
17.12.25	Lecce U20 - Napoli U20	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Sassuolo U20 - Napoli U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
22.09.25	Napoli U20 - Cremonese U20	2:3

Cremonese U20 - Napoli U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide