Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 16

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Campo Amadio Soldi (Cremona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Primavera TV


	Cremonese U20		Fiorentina U20

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.25	1.85
	4.55	3.45	1.88
	4.18	3.46	1.85	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.85
	4.36	3.28	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (4.01)	3.31 ↓ (3.44)	1.86 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese U20
22.5%

Draw
27.9%

Fiorentina U20
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

27.2%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

26.7%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Fiorentina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese U20 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina U20 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Cremonese U20 - Fiorentina U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cremonese U20 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fiorentina U20 will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cassin M. (G) 36. Zilio A. 73. Bassi E. 55. Prendi D. 47. Gashi E. 4. Patrignani G. 15. Lickunas A. 10. Lottici Tessadri S. 16. Bozza M. 77. Sivieri L. 9. Ragnoli Galli F.	22. Leonardelli P. (G) 19. Trapani N. 6. Turnone N. 5. Sadotti E. 33. Evangelista C. 4. Bonanno P. 47. Montenegro L. 14. Kone M. 80. Atzeni D. 7. Bertolini G. 9. Braschi R.
Substitutes
7. Achi A. C. 21. Biolchi P. 13. Herzuah G. 8. Lamorte A. 22. Malovec A. (G) 14. Marino L. 27. Marsi S. 28. Murante A. 33. Paganotti M. 24. Pavesi D. 99. Raballo A.	21. Angiolini G. 24. Batignani F. 31. Conti G. 8. Deli L. 1. Dolfi B. (G) 18. Jallow S. 11. Maiorana S. 3. Masoni T. 28. Mazzeo B. 10. Puzzoli G. 72. Sturli E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Bassi E. ⚽,
42', Zilio A. 🟨,
45+1', Bertolini G. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Kone M. ↓, Jallow S. ↑,
62', Bassi E. 🟨,
68', Bassi E. ↓, Pavesi D. ↑,
68', Evangelista C. ↓, Masoni T. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Braschi R. ⚽,
77', Lickunas A. ↓, Raballo A. ↑,
77', Sivieri L. ↓, Lamorte A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Primavera 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Fiorentina U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fiorentina U20 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cremonese U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Cremonese U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Fiorentina U20 - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.49%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cremonese U20
Italian Primavera 1
13.12.25	Atalanta U20 - Cremonese U20	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Cremonese U20 - Cagliari U20	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Cremonese U20 - Cesena U20	2:1 ✺
24.11.25	Monza U20 - Cremonese U20	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Cremonese U20 - Genoa U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TWWLL
- Fiorentina U20
Italian Primavera 1
14.12.25	Fiorentina U20 - Cesena U20	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Napoli U20 - Fiorentina U20	3:1 ✺
01.12.25	Sassuolo U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Fiorentina U20 - Milan U20	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Frosinone U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
23.01.25	Fiorentina U20 - Cremonese U20	2:0
03.11.24	Cremonese U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:4

Cremonese U20 - Fiorentina U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide