Match Info

Date: 4 July 2021, Sunday


	Criciúma		Paraná Clube Curitiba

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.2	5.5
	1.6	3.25	6
	1.68	3.1	5.2
	1.76	3.25	5.81
	1.66	3.1	5.25
	1.73	3.16	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.07)	3.18 ↑ (2.92)	5.53 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
54.6%

Draw
28.8%

Paraná Clube Curitiba
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

31.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

23.4%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Criciúma's performance.

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paraná Clube Curitiba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Criciúma - Paraná Clube Curitiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage) and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Criciúma is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Paraná is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paraná could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Criciúma is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie C
27.06.21	Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
19.06.21	Osasco Sporting - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
13.06.21	Criciúma - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
09.06.21	Criciúma - América Mineiro	3:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie C
06.06.21	EC São José Porto Alegre - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTWWT
- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie C
26.06.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:1 ✺
19.06.21	Ituano - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
16.06.21	Athletico Paranaense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
13.06.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
05.06.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.11.19	Criciúma - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1
24.08.19	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Criciúma	0:0
13.10.17	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Criciúma	2:1
23.06.17	Criciúma - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1
12.11.16	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Criciúma	1:2
22.07.16	Criciúma - Paraná Clube Curitiba	3:2
02.10.15	Criciúma - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:0

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