Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 21

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)


	Criciúma		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.3	5
	1.7	3.25	5.2
	1.74	3.52	5.61
	1.67	3.1	4.8
	1.72	3.52	5.2	Watch
	1.65	3.45	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	5.2 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
54.6%

Draw
27.6%

Ponte Preta
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

28.1%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

27.1%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Criciúma - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: Criciúma will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 27. Claudinho 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Rayan 22. Marcelo Hermes 8. Arilson 17. Romulo 18. Crystopher 7. Fellipe Mateus 11. Fabinho 9. Felipe Vizeu	12. Caique Franca (G) 23. Weverton 4. Mateus Silva 27. Fabio Sanches (C) 15. Artur 6. Filipinho 5. Leo Naldi 40. Ramon 9. Pereira Silva E. C. 10. Elvis 90. Andre Felipe
Substitutes
25. Alisson (G) 2. Cristovam 23. Eder 6. Helder Santos 70. Italo Melo 21. Joao Carlos 5. Leo Costa 14. Matheus Mancini 42. Miqueias 77. Neilton 99. Tiago Marques 15. Welinton Torrao	3. de Morae E. R. G. 8. Felipe Amaral 77. Igor Torres 18. Lucas Nathan 14. Luiz Felipe 2. Mailton 16. Paulo Baya 1. Pedro Rocha (G) 17. Samuel 13. Thomas
Coaches
Tencati C.	Pintado

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 2.

Recent matches Criciúma is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ponte Preta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Criciúma is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
30.07.23	Tombense - Criciúma	2:2 ✺
22.07.23	Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
17.07.23	Botafogo SP - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
13.07.23	Criciúma - Guarani	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	ABC - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLTW
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
30.07.23	Ponte Preta - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
29.07.23	CA Juventus - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
22.07.23	Ponte Preta - EC Primavera	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.07.23	CRB Maceio - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
18.07.23	Ponte Preta - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.04.23	Ponte Preta - Criciúma	1:2
28.10.22	Ponte Preta - Criciúma	1:1
15.07.22	Criciúma - Ponte Preta	1:1
Copa do Brasil
08.04.21	Criciúma - Ponte Preta	2:1 penalties
Brazilian Serie B
03.09.19	Criciúma - Ponte Preta	0:0
02.05.19	Ponte Preta - Criciúma	1:1
14.08.18	Ponte Preta - Criciúma	3:1

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