Match Info

CROATIA: PRVA NL - ROUND 24

Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadion ŠRC Marijan Šuto Mrma (Zmijavci)


	Croatia Zmijavci		Šibenik

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.67
	4.33	3.3	1.71
	3.75	3.6	1.8
	4.24	3.65	1.81
	4.24	3.65	1.7
	4.52	3.4	1.72
	3.6	3.4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.4)	3.5 ↑ (3.2)	1.74 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Croatia Zmijavci
21.9%

Draw
26%

Šibenik
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

28.2%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

27.1%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Croatia Zmijavci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Šibenik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Šibenik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croatia Zmijavci than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Šibenik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Croatia Zmijavci - Šibenik Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Croatia Zmijavci will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Šibenik will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gudelj M. (G) 18. Amkadmi A. Y. 9. Brkic M. 8. Gadze G. 23. Klancir P. 17. Klopp A. 7. Miljanic V. 10. Sabic M. 4. Salinovic N. 15. Simunic D. 11. Suto M.	1. Djakovic A. (G) 9. Bozic I. 34. Cvijanovic I. 5. Dujmovic D. 22. Kolega T. 7. Majic J. 44. Marijanovic R. 55. Peric S. 21. Pozo I. 24. Puncec R. 17. Toshevski D.
Substitutes
6. Brkic I. 5. Culina D. 19. Ernst L. 12. Fesyuk D. (G) 24. Jonjic M. 20. Ljubic J. 13. Prskalo A. 16. Suto M. 22. Todoric I.	2. Brajkovic B. 19. Delic I. 4. Gacic J. 11. Laca I. 74. Misevic L. (G) 29. Osmankovic K. 16. Pavicic K. 28. Roca I. 23. Torres C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Cvijanovic I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Brkic M. ↓, Brkic I. ↑,
57', 🟨,
67', Toshevski D. ↓, Delic I. ↑,
67', Marijanovic R. ↓, Roca I. ↑,
67', Sabic M. ↓, Todoric I. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Delic I. ⚽,
87', Jonjic M. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 3, Delic I. ⚽,
90+3', Todoric I. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Croatia Zmijavci won 1.

Recent matches Croatia Zmijavci is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Šibenik is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Šibenik is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Croatia Zmijavci won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Croatia Zmijavci won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Croatia Zmijavci
Croatian Prva NL
23.03.24	Vukovar 91 - Croatia Zmijavci	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Orijent - Croatia Zmijavci	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Croatia Zmijavci - Zrinski Osječko	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Šibenik - Croatia Zmijavci	2:1 ✺
27.02.24	Croatia Zmijavci - Solin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTLW
- HNK Šibenik
Croatian Prva NL
24.03.24	Šibenik - Cibalia	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Šibenik - Jarun Zagreb	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Dubrava - Šibenik	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Šibenik - Croatia Zmijavci	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Dugopolje - Šibenik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
02.03.24	Šibenik - Croatia Zmijavci	2:1
08.10.23	Croatia Zmijavci - Šibenik	0:0
Club Friendly
04.08.23	Croatia Zmijavci - Šibenik	2:1
Croatian Cup
07.10.20	Croatia Zmijavci - Šibenik	0:2 ET
Club Friendly
18.07.20	Croatia Zmijavci - Šibenik	1:1
Croatian Prva NL
10.11.19	Croatia Zmijavci - Šibenik	2:0
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Croatia Zmijavci - Šibenik	2:2

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