Match Info

Prva NL - Round 6

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion ŠRC Marijan Šuto Mrma (Zmijavci)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Croatia Zmijavci		Cibalia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.9	3.1	3.8
	4.16	3.41	1.81	Watch
	1.97	3.05	3.78
	2.3	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.33)	3.2 ↓ (3.23)	3.28 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Croatia Zmijavci
40.1%

Draw
30.3%

Cibalia
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

29.2%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Croatia Zmijavci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Cibalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croatia Zmijavci than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cibalia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Croatia Zmijavci - Cibalia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Croatia Zmijavci (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Croatia Zmijavci (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gudelj M. (G) 13. Brajkovic B. 22. Diallo B. 98. Gudelj T. 15. Iyendjock J. 23. Krstanovic I. 10. Petrovic L. 2. Prusina B. 4. Suto M. 9. Vrcic J. 7. Vukusic A.	12. Galic M. (G) 24. Bosak D. 28. Bosnjak D. 6. Britto 9. Bubnjar A. 20. Grujevic M. 8. Kuzminski M. 21. Pervan M. 25. Sopic S. 15. Stapic K. 11. Zabec D.
Substitutes
18. Brajkovic R. 21. Cotic R. 12. Dizdar J. (G) 8. Kukoc M. 24. Mendes M. 5. Nazor K. 20. Petkovic F. 25. Radujkovic N. 6. Simoni L.	17. Cavar D. 4. Kelic R. 1. Marijanovic L. (G) 2. Medo M. 22. Mestrovic L. 10. Misic P. 13. Rajkovic L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Sopic S. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Bosnjak D. ⚽,
34', Kuzminski M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Zabec D. 🟨,
59', Gudelj T. ↓, Petkovic F. ↑,
61', Bubnjar A. ↓, Misic P. ↑,
63', Iyendjock J. ↓, Kukoc M. ↑,
71', Pervan M. ↓, Rajkovic L. ↑,
80', Vukusic A. ↓, Nazor K. ↑,
80', Diallo B. ↓, Mendes M. ↑,
80', Petrovic L. ↓, Brajkovic R. ↑,
80', Britto ↓, Kelic R. ↑,
82', Petkovic F. 🟨,
90+4', Bosnjak D. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Prva NL (Relegation) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Croatia Zmijavci won 3.

Croatia Zmijavci has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cibalia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Croatia Zmijavci may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Croatia Zmijavci won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Croatia Zmijavci won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Croatia Zmijavci
Croatian Prva NL
13.09.25	Dugopolje - Croatia Zmijavci	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Croatia Zmijavci - Sesvete	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Karlovac - Croatia Zmijavci	4:1 ✺
24.08.25	Croatia Zmijavci - Opatija	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Dubrava - Croatia Zmijavci	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTW
- HNK Cibalia
Croatian Prva NL
13.09.25	Sesvete - Cibalia	0:0 ✺
Croatian Cup
10.09.25	Vukovar 91 - Cibalia	0:1 ✺
Croatian Prva NL
07.09.25	Cibalia - Opatija	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Bijelo Brdo - Cibalia	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Cibalia - Rudeš	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
30.03.25	Cibalia - Croatia Zmijavci	0:0
02.03.25	Croatia Zmijavci - Cibalia	2:1
05.10.24	Cibalia - Croatia Zmijavci	3:3
14.04.24	Croatia Zmijavci - Cibalia	2:0
29.10.23	Croatia Zmijavci - Cibalia	5:1
12.08.23	Cibalia - Croatia Zmijavci	1:0
24.03.23	Cibalia - Croatia Zmijavci	0:0

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