Match Info

Prva NL - Round 30

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion ŠRC Marijan Šuto Mrma (Zmijavci)


	Croatia Zmijavci		Jarun Zagreb

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4
	1.9	3	3.95
	1.89	3.12	3.9
	1.88	3.28	3.89	Watch
	1.91	2.9	4
	1.86	3.13	4.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.77)	3.07 ↓ (3.29)	3.97 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Croatia Zmijavci
47.9%

Draw
29.4%

Jarun Zagreb
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.8%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

23.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Croatia Zmijavci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Jarun Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Croatia Zmijavci than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jarun Zagreb than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Croatia Zmijavci - Jarun Zagreb Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dizdar J. (G) 6. Bradaric L. 13. Brajkovic B. 20. Condric D. 98. Gudelj T. (C) 15. Iyendjock J. 22. Jukic-Peladic T. 23. Krstanovic I. 8. Kukoc M. 5. Nazor K. 2. Pavlek D.	72. Krizanovic I. (G) 2. Grdenic T. 19. Jug P. 10. Luetic K. 22. Maloca M. (C) 30. Mamic I. 20. Ocvirek N. 5. Orlic B. 26. Petkovic F. 4. Sostar F. 27. Vukmanovic V.
Substitutes
7. Gadze G. 12. Guljelmovic I. 17. Krolo I. 3. Lucic L. 10. Majic J. 18. Perisic J. 25. Radujkovic N. 9. Suto M. 21. Zuzul A.	1. Bosancic I. (G) 15. Damjanovic I. 32. Jurincic N. 18. Kruslin V. 77. Musa F. 17. Peros R. 34. Reyvandi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Mamic I. 🟨,
21', Jukic-Peladic T. ↓, Radujkovic N. ↑,
29', 0 - 1, Jug P. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Ocvirek N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Radujkovic N. ↓, Suto M. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Suto M. (Penalty Awarded),
58', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
77', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Croatia Zmijavci won 1.

Croatia Zmijavci has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jarun has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jarun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Croatia Zmijavci is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Croatia Zmijavci won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Croatia Zmijavci won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Croatia Zmijavci	7	4	1	2	11:6	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Croatia Zmijavci
Croatian Prva NL
02.05.26	Orijent - Croatia Zmijavci	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Croatia Zmijavci - Rudeš	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Sesvete - Croatia Zmijavci	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Croatia Zmijavci - Dugopolje	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Cibalia - Croatia Zmijavci	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLTTL
- Jarun Zagreb
Croatian Prva NL
02.05.26	Jarun Zagreb - Hrvace	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Opatija - Jarun Zagreb	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Bijelo Brdo - Jarun Zagreb	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Jarun Zagreb - Orijent	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Rudeš - Jarun Zagreb	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
07.03.26	Jarun Zagreb - Croatia Zmijavci	4:0
12.10.25	Croatia Zmijavci - Jarun Zagreb	2:2
04.05.25	Croatia Zmijavci - Jarun Zagreb	0:1
22.02.25	Jarun Zagreb - Croatia Zmijavci	1:1
29.09.24	Croatia Zmijavci - Jarun Zagreb	1:0
25.05.24	Jarun Zagreb - Croatia Zmijavci	1:1
03.12.23	Croatia Zmijavci - Jarun Zagreb	1:0

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