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Current Win Probability
Croatia Zmijavci 36.1%
Draw 30%
Dugopolje 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
29.5%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
29.3%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Croatia Zmijavci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Croatia Zmijavci's form might have worsened.
Dugopolje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dugopolje's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croatia Zmijavci than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Croatia Zmijavci, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dugopolje than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dugopolje, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Croatia Zmijavci - Dugopolje Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gudelj M. (C) 4. Arkovic T. 20. Condric D. 7. Gadze G. 98. Gudelj T. 15. Iyendjock J. 22. Jukic-Peladic T. 23. Krstanovic I. 10. Majic J. 2. Pavlek D. 25. Radujkovic N.
1. Tomic T. (G) 17. Antunovic M. 10. Balic A. 18. Balic D. (C) 5. Bungic K. 11. Caktas M. 9. Delic I. 4. Kurtovic R. 26. Musura S. 6. Nizic Z. 29. Utrobicic A.
Substitutes
19. Babic D. 6. Bradaric L. 13. Brajkovic B. 12. Dizdar J. (G) 14. Jahiji D. 17. Krolo I. 16. Sabic F. 9. Suto M. 21. Zuzul A.
23. Balic J. 30. Bartulic J. (G) 25. Garic N. 22. Karabatic M. 3. Kordic A. 20. Shatri F. 28. Trajkov D. 27. Tudor R. 7. Zdunic B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Arkovic T. ↓, Babic D. ↑,
14', 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Iyendjock J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Trajkov D. ⚽,
83', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Croatia Zmijavci won 2.
Recent form of Croatia Zmijavci has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Dugopolje's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Croatia Zmijavci won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Croatia Zmijavci won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Croatia Zmijavci
7
4
1
2
11:6
5
13
9
Dugopolje
7
2
3
2
9:9
0
9
Last Results with these Odds
Croatia Zmijavci - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.72%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.