Match Info

Prva NL - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion ŠRC Marijan Šuto Mrma (Zmijavci)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Croatia Zmijavci		Orijent

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.91
	3.4	3.05	2.05
	3.88	3.07	1.99
	3.46	2.66	2.37	Watch
	3.66	3.4	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.84)	3.09 ↓ (3.22)	2.06 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Croatia Zmijavci
25.7%

Draw
29.8%

Orijent
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

27.7%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Croatia Zmijavci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Croatia Zmijavci's form might have worsened.

Orijent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croatia Zmijavci than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Croatia Zmijavci, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orijent than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Croatia Zmijavci - Orijent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gudelj M. (G) 16. Brajkovic B. 15. Iyendjock J. 17. Krolo I. 23. Krstanovic I. 10. Petrovic L. 2. Prusina B. 25. Radujkovic N. 11. Suto M. 9. Vrcic J. 7. Vukusic A.	30. Bazdaric V. (G) 20. Bilajac J. 2. Braut F. 24. Burcul B. 27. Gajzler N. 25. Galesic A. 18. Kordic-Gruzic M. 4. Prpic D. 9. Saho C. 28. Tadejevic M. 22. Usalj D.
Substitutes
4. Arkovic T. 21. Cotic R. 22. Diallo B. 12. Dizdar J. (G) 18. Gadze G. 19. Kobidze R. 8. Kukoc M. 20. Petkovic F. 6. Simoni L.	1. Curac D. (G) 6. Panic B. 19. Paskvan D. 11. Resetar D. 13. Stasic N. A. 14. Valincic R. 21. Zrilic F. 5. Zubovic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Gajzler N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vrcic J. ↓, Petkovic F. ↑,
46', Krolo I. ↓, Kukoc M. ↑,
55', Saho C. 🟨,
64', Brajkovic B. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
65', Bilajac J. ↓, Panic B. ↑,
70', Saho C. ↓, Resetar D. ↑,
74', Petrovic L. ↓, Cotic R. ↑,
80', Galesic A. ↓, Zrilic F. ↑,
80', Gajzler N. ↓, Paskvan D. ↑,
84', Kordic-Gruzic M. 🟨,
86', 1 - 0, Suto M. (Pen),
89', Radujkovic N. ↓, Arkovic T. ↑,
90+1', Vukusic A. 🟨,
90+3', Gudelj M. 🟨,
90+5', Arkovic T. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Druga NL and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Croatia Zmijavci won 0.

Croatia Zmijavci is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Orijent's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Orijent may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Orijent will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Croatia Zmijavci won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Croatia Zmijavci won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:11. (average 2.4:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Orijent - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Croatia Zmijavci
Croatian Prva NL
21.09.25	Hrvace - Croatia Zmijavci	1:1 ✺
17.09.25	Croatia Zmijavci - Cibalia	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Dugopolje - Croatia Zmijavci	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Croatia Zmijavci - Sesvete	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Karlovac - Croatia Zmijavci	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLL
- HNK Orijent 1919
Croatian Prva NL
20.09.25	Cibalia - Orijent	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Orijent - Sesvete	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Opatija - Orijent	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Orijent - Bijelo Brdo	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Rudeš - Orijent	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
12.04.25	Orijent - Croatia Zmijavci	2:0
27.10.24	Croatia Zmijavci - Orijent	1:1
17.08.24	Orijent - Croatia Zmijavci	0:0
27.04.24	Orijent - Croatia Zmijavci	3:0
16.03.24	Orijent - Croatia Zmijavci	1:1
22.10.23	Croatia Zmijavci - Orijent	6:2
22.04.23	Orijent - Croatia Zmijavci	2:0

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