The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crown Legacy 41.3%
Draw 25.3%
Chattanooga 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
25.8%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
25%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crown Legacy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Chattanooga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Crown Legacy - Chattanooga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Walker I. (G) 39. Neeley J. 63. Holt W. 34. Johnson A. 90. Kamdem A. 89. Mendoza A. 43. Sangoquiza W. (C) 60. Subotic A. 71. Richmond N. 83. Mbongue H. 91. Smalls M.
1. Jakupovic E. (G) 2. Tcheuyap Y. 5. Sar-Sar F. 4. Hanchard M. 13. Sorenson A. 3. Robertson T. 18. Husakiwsky L. 33. McGrath A. 9. Barker D. 23. Krehl A. 10. Mangarov D.
Substitutes
74. Ayovi M. 32. Blama B. 87. Curtis E. 68. Gonzalez C. 41. Romero B. 94. Smith G. 24. Thomas M. 79. Ventura S. 31. Wickham J. A. (G)
29. Arrua A. 90. Cohen Y. 7. Garcia A. 77. Huff G. (G) 47. Jones I. 14. Koehler N. 6. Louis S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Sangoquiza W. 🟨,
13', Kamdem A. ↓, Thomas M. ↑,
25', 1 - 0, Subotic A. ⚽, Thomas M. (A),
37', Barker D. 🟨,
38', Smalls M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Mbongue H. ⚽,
56', Robertson T. 🟨,
57', Husakiwsky L. ↓, Arrua A. ↑,
61', Sorenson A. 🟨,
63', 2 - 1, Mangarov D. ⚽,
64', Mbongue H. 🟨,
69', Smalls M. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
69', Mendoza A. ↓, Ventura S. ↑,
72', Thomas M. 🟨,
74', Sorenson A. ↓, Louis S. ↑,
83', Barker D. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
83', McGrath A. ↓, Cohen Y. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Mbongue H. ⚽, Richmond N. (A),
86', Richmond N. ↓, Curtis E. ↑,
86', Subotic A. ↓, Ayovi M. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crown Legacy won 3.
Crown Legacy is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Chattanooga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Chattanooga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Crown Legacy has had a series of away games.
Crown Legacy might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crown Legacy won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Crown Legacy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).