The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto FC II 28.9%
Draw 24.8%
Chattanooga 46.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
25.5%
46.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.7%
24.4%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Chattanooga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Toronto FC II - Chattanooga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. De Rosario A. (G) 72. Stampatori D. 75. Fisher R. 89. Mikina G. 96. Chukwu R. 69. Blyth T. 58. Stojadinovic M. 82. Boneau B. (C) 79. Bank F. 91. Barrow D. 64. Nolan J.
1. Jakupovic E. (G) 2. Tcheuyap Y. 5. Sar-Sar F. 4. Hanchard M. 13. Sorenson A. 18. Husakiwsky L. 3. Robertson T. 29. Arrua A. 33. McGrath A. 10. Mangarov D. 23. Krehl A.
Substitutes
73. Chisholm M. 74. Costabile L. 87. Dawson L. 93. Dixon D. 50. Kantorowicz D. (G) 98. Kapor S. 66. Nue-Brito D. 83. Omoregbe E. 63. Pinnock S.
9. Barker D. 90. Cohen Y. 7. Garcia A. 77. Huff G. (G) 47. Jones I. 14. Koehler N. 11. Mohand A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Nolan J. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Krehl A. ⚽, Mangarov D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Blyth T. ↓, Dawson L. ↑,
61', Bank F. ↓, Dixon D. ↑,
61', Chukwu R. ↓, Costabile L. ↑,
62', Arrua A. ↓, Mohand A. ↑,
62', Krehl A. ↓, Cohen Y. ↑,
74', Dawson L. 🟨,
75', McGrath A. 🟨,
80', Mangarov D. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Sar-Sar F. ⚽,
85', Barrow D. ↓, Pinnock S. ↑,
86', Garcia A. 🟨,
89', Robertson T. ↓, Jones I. ↑,
90+2', Stampatori D. ↓, Nue-Brito D. ↑,
90+3', Mohand A. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Dixon D. ⚽, Costabile L. (A),
90+5', 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Garcia A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Nolan J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mohand A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Dixon D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cohen Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Dawson L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Husakiwsky L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Costabile L. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Sar-Sar F. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Stojadinovic M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 1.
Toronto II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Chattanooga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Chattanooga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Toronto II has had a series of away games.
Chattanooga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.4:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).