The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruz Azul 33.3%
Draw 25.6%
UNAM 41.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.7%
24.9%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.4%
25.8%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruz Azul's form might have worsened.
UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UNAM's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruz Azul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UNAM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cruz Azul - UNAM Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Solis O. (G) 23. Gutierrez I. 3. Ruth H. 2. Miranda V. 11. Mendoza D. 7. Angeles L. 9. Martinez A. 18. Cruz B. 19. Valdez V. (C) 20. Ceren B. 13. Garcia D.
1. Toledo W. (G) 16. Guerrero A. 3. Mendoza A. 14. Davila J. 5. Rios X. 26. Huerta A. 8. Pereira A. (C) 9. Chinchilla P. 11. Hernandez M. 10. Torres C. 7. Ribeiro S.
Substitutes
5. Frias A. 28. Garcia A. 29. Kanu U. 14. Leon M. 8. Lomeli A. 17. Montano Osuna M. C. 6. Rodriguez L. 4. Sanchez T. 30. Solis J. 1. Villeda M. (G)
15. Gielnik E. 71. Hernandez K. 66. Hernandez V. 12. Hix A. 20. Lopez J. (G) 2. Ramirez K. 4. Sainz E.
Coaches
Gutierrez R.
Medina R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Garcia D. 🟨,
15', Mendoza A. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Martinez A. ⚽, Garcia D. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Torres C. ⚽, Hernandez M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', Davila J. 🟨,
58', Angeles L. ↓, Montano Osuna M. C. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Chinchilla P. ⚽,
67', Ceren B. ↓, Lomeli A. ↑,
74', Cruz B. ↓, Frias A. ↑,
75', Garcia D. ↓, Kanu U. ↑,
75', Gutierrez I. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Kanu U. ⚽,
79', Hernandez M. ↓, Sainz E. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Kanu U. ⚽, Lomeli A. (A),
83', Rios X. ↓, Gielnik E. ↑,
89', Chinchilla P. ↓, Hix A. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:35. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).
Mexico
South-america
Usa
Watch
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Solis O. (G) 
Ruth H. 
Martinez A. 
Ceren B. 
Pereira A. (C) 
Chinchilla P. 
Torres C. 
Ribeiro S. 
Kanu U. 
Leon M. 
Gielnik E. 
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