Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Akron (Zapopan)

Referee: Guarneros Lezama A. C. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Chivas Guadalajara		UNAM

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.50	3.30
	1.68	3.60	4.00
	2.03	3.70	3.43
	1.88	3.76	3.67	Watch
	1.92	3.60	3.55
	1.98	3.54	3.54	Watch
	1.85	3.55	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.6)	3.61 ↓ (4.5)	3.56 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chivas Guadalajara
48.7%

Draw
25.5%

UNAM
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

20%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chivas Guadalajara's form might have worsened.

UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Felix Castro B. M. (G) 23. Casarez J. A. 24. Cervantes A. 4. Colin N. 5. Ferral C. 16. Gonzalez E. 8. Jaramillo C. 21. Lopez S. 14. Mauleon M. 25. Montoya J. 9. Valenzuela G.	1. Toledo W. (G) 9. Chinchilla P. 14. Davila J. 16. Guerrero A. 11. Hernandez M. 3. Mendoza A. 31. Montero C. 8. Pereira A. 7. Ribeiro S. 5. Rios X. 10. Torres C.
Substitutes
19. Alvarado V. 22. Castro D. 77. Cordulack E. 3. Godinez D. 1. Gonzalez Vite H. K. (G) 10. Iturbide A. 13. Pelayo M. 2. Rodriguez J. 30. Salazar E. 76. Urbano M.	13. Chavero P. 15. Gielnik E. 12. Hix A. 26. Huerta A. 20. Lopez J. (G) 2. Ramirez K. 4. Sainz E.
Coaches
Contreras A.	Medina R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Ribeiro S. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Torres C. ⚽, Ribeiro S. (A),
28', Ribeiro S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Valenzuela G. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
51', Montero C. 🟨,
55', Rios X. 🟨,
64', Davila J. 🟨,
66', Lopez S. ↓, Iturbide A. ↑,
70', Chinchilla P. 🟥,
72', Gonzalez E. ↓, Pelayo M. ↑,
74', Hernandez M. ↓, Chavero P. ↑,
74', Ribeiro S. ↓, Gielnik E. ↑,
83', Montoya J. ↓, Salazar E. ↑,
86', Montero C. ↓, Huerta A. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 3.

UNAM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Guadalajara is the team to beat.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:19. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:9. (average 2.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chivas Guadalajara Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
23.08.26	Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Atlético San Luis	3:1 ✺
09.08.26	Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara	1:4 ✺
02.08.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Querétaro	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWWL
- UNAM Pumas Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
21.08.26	UNAM - Querétaro	5:0 ✺
15.08.26	Pachuca - UNAM	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Necaxa - UNAM	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	UNAM - Club León	2:5 ✺
25.04.26	Cruz Azul - UNAM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
09.02.26	UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0
05.10.25	Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM	4:3
27.04.25	UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara	0:1
24.04.25	Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM	2:0
17.04.25	Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM	0:0
26.09.24	UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara	3:1
13.04.24	UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1

Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide