Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Cruz Azul U21		Juárez U21

	1	X	2
	2.16	3.00	3.00
	2.33	2.99	2.87
	2.35	3.11	2.94	Watch
	2.30	2.95	2.80
	2.33	3.32	2.85
	2.24	3.00	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.17)	3.06 ↑ (3)	2.9 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruz Azul U21
39.5%

Draw
29.5%

Juárez U21
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

30.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruz Azul U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Juárez U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul U21 than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez U21 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Cruz Azul U21 - Juárez U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 16th and 14th).

Cruz Azul U21 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Juárez U21 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Cruz Azul U21 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Cruz Azul U21 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cruz Azul U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
15	Juarez U21	13	2	3	3	5	11:16	15
16	Cruz Azul U21	12	1	5	1	5	21:19	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruz Azul U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
11.10.26	UNAM Pumas U21 - Cruz Azul U21	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Cruz Azul U21 - Toluca U21	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Cruz Azul U21 - Club América U21	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Cruz Azul U21 - Santos Laguna U21	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Necaxa U21 - Cruz Azul U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- Juárez U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
10.10.26	Juárez U21 - Tijuana U21	1:0 ✺
02.10.26	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - Juárez U21	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Club León U21 - Juárez U21	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	Juárez U21 - Tigres UANL U21	2:1 penalties ✺
13.09.26	Santos Laguna U21 - Juárez U21	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U21
30.01.26	Juárez U21 - Cruz Azul U21	0:1 penalties
19.09.25	Cruz Azul U21 - Juárez U21	0:1

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