The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruz Azul U21 31.7%
Draw 27.3%
Toluca U21 41%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.1%
27.7%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
27.2%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Toluca U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul U21 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca U21 than the current prediction. (+1%)
Cruz Azul U21 - Toluca U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Camacho X. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Chavez Lopez A. A. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Castro A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 2 - 2, ⚽,
69', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Apertura ~ Playoffs).
In recent outings, Cruz Azul U21 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Toluca U21 is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Cruz Azul U21 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Cruz Azul U21 has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:4 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cruz Azul U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals (averaging 0.5:0 per game).
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