Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 8

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio das Alterosas (Belo Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2


	Cruzeiro		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.1
	1.94	3.7	3.2
	1.9	3.88	3.46
	1.99	3.84	3.32	Watch
	1.94	3.64	3.24
	1.94	3.7	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.89)	3.73 ↑ (3.5)	3.25 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
47.3%

Draw
24.6%

Flamengo
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

26.1%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

25%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Cruzeiro - Flamengo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Camila Rodrigues (G) 56. Bedoya L. 10. Byanca Brasil (C) 95. Gaby Soares 8. Gisseli 2. Isabela 3. Isa Haas 9. Leticia Ferreira 20. Marilia 4. Paloma 77. Pri Back	17. Vivi Holzel (G) 22. Barroso A. 11. Cristiane 8. Djeni 7. Fabi Simoes 32. Fernanda 16. Flavia Mota 10. Glaucia 81. Jucinara 28. Ju Ferreira (C) 31. Laysa
Substitutes
23. Andrade L. 14. Camila Ambrozio 16. Fretes L. 92. Gio Oliveira 19. Layza 1. Leilane (G) 99. Leticia Alves 11. Miria 21. Rodriguez G. 29. Sochor 31. Taty Amaro (G) 15. Tauane Zoio	6. Chai 23. Karol Alves (G) 13. Leidiane 18. Louvain 43. Mariana 2. Monalisa 14. Nubia 21. Valeria Cantuario 9. Vitoria Almeida

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Jucinara ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pri Back ↓, Sochor ↑,
46', Fernanda ↓, Valeria Cantuario ↑,
62', Fabi Simoes ↓, Monalisa ↑,
62', Laysa ↓, Mariana ↑,
69', Vivi Holzel 🟨,
74', 1 - 1, Leticia Ferreira ⚽,
79', Marilia ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
80', Jucinara ↓, Chai ↑,
81', Chai 🟨,
81', Glaucia ↓, Leidiane ↑,
86', Gisseli ↓, Leticia Alves ↑,
86', Gaby Soares ↓, Miria ↑,
90+3', Isabela 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Cruzeiro in the latest games got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).

Recent matches Flamengo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cruzeiro could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.

Cruzeiro will have a small advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 3 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 11:7 (average 2.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams, Cruzeiro won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG Women
Brasileiro Women
26.04.25	Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	0:3 ✺
17.04.25	Internacional - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Cruzeiro - Juventude	4:0 ✺
30.03.25	São Paulo - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWT
- Flamengo Women
Brasileiro Women
26.04.25	Flamengo - Juventude	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio Women
23.04.25	Fluminense - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Brasileiro Women
19.04.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Flamengo - Palmeiras	2:5 ✺
11.04.25	Sport Recife - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
19.03.24	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	1:2
22.05.23	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	3:1
18.04.22	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:4
02.06.21	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	1:2
13.09.20	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	1:1

Cruzeiro - Flamengo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide