Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, HBO Max, SBT, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 2
Canada	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	03:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	21:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360
Georgia	23:00	Silk Sport 3
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	22:00	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport 251
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 4
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	13:00	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	21:00	Kanal A, Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Zoom
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, Inter


	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Paphos

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.5	6
	1.6	4	5.25
	1.55	4.5	6
	1.5	4.65	6.4
	2.11	3.87	3.02	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.8
	1.57	4.39	5.66
	1.6	3.9	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.5)	4.2 ↑ (3.9)	5.25 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
58.9%

Draw
22.8%

Paphos
18.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.6%

23.7%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

22.4%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.6%	5.1%	6.3%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Crvena Zvezda (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (69 of 77 users predict this - 89.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.79% – 96.43%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (49 of 53 users predict this - 92.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 54 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 50 - 92.6%). Paphos (votes: 1 - 1.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 66. Seol Young-Woo 44. Milosavljevic V. 13. Veljkovic M. 23. Tiknizyan N. 6. Bajo M. 21. Elsnik T. 80. Babicka S. 4. Ivanic M. (C) 14. Olayinka P. 9. Ndiaye C.	93. Michail N. (G) 77. Correia J. 5. Goldar D. 23. Luckassen D. 2. Pileas K. 88. Pepe 26. Sunjic I. 30. Dragomir V. 22. Tankovic M. (C) 7. Bruno 33. Anderson Silva
Substitutes
71. Avdic A. 17. Bruno Duarte 18. Glazer O. (G) 77. Gutesa I. (G) 10. Katai A. 22. Kostov V. 25. Lekovic S. 37. Lucic V. 7. Milson 8. Sljivic J. 24. Stankovic N. 30. Tebo Uchenna F.	9. Bassouamina M. 70. Ilia M. 11. Jaja 25. Langa B. 17. Orsic M. 99. Papadoudis A. (G) 35. Pedrao 82. Petrou P. (G) 12. Sema K.
Coaches
Milojevic V.	Carcedo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Correia J. ⚽, Tankovic M. (A),
17', Tankovic M. ↓, Sema K. ↑,
32', Olayinka P. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Pepe (Pen),
58', Bruno Duarte (Pen),
58', 1 - 2, Bruno Duarte ⚽,
69', Bajo M. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
73', Anderson Silva ↓, Ilia M. ↑,
73', Pileas K. ↓, Langa B. ↑,
73', Correia J. ↓, Jaja ↑,
77', Ivanic M. 🟨,
84', Sema K. ↓, Orsic M. ↑,
87', Babicka S. ↓, Milson ↑,
87', Langa B. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Crvena Zvezda has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Paphos is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Crvena Zvezda is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Rodrigo (Red Card)

There will not play in Paphos: David Luiz (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Crvena Zvezda: Avdic A. (Injury)

We predict that Crvena Zvezda will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
15.08.25	Mladost Lučani - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań	1:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
09.08.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Bačka Topola	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.08.25	Lech Poznań - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:3 ✺
29.07.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lincoln Red Imps	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWWW
- Paphos FC
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Paphos - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Paphos	0:1 ✺
30.07.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Paphos	0:1 ✺
22.07.25	Paphos - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Orlando Pirates - Paphos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWWTT

Upcoming Matches