Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Apollon Arena (Limassol) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	19:00	SportKlub 3
Cyprus	20:00	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Serbia	19:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	19:00	SportKlub 3
Ukraine	20:00	2plus2


	Paphos		Dynamo Kyiv

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.35	2.22	Watch
	3.26	3.32	2.25
	1.86	3.77	3.81	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.05
	3.14	3.45	2.28	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.65)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	2.5 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paphos
33%

Draw
28.3%

Dynamo Kyiv
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

29%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Dynamo Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	13.8%	60.3%

Paphos - Dynamo Kyiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 15 - 26.8%). Dynamo will win (votes: 33 - 58.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo: 46% – 71.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Paphos (votes: 9 - 31%). Dynamo (votes: 17 - 58.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Dynamo (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Dynamo (1.59) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Paphos (2.31) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Paphos (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Dynamo (4.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Dynamo (4.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Dynamo (3.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 42 Selected Experts predict this event. Paphos (votes: 14 - 33.3%). Dynamo (votes: 25 - 59.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Michail N. (G) 77. Correia J. 5. Goldar D. 23. Luckassen D. 2. Pileas K. 22. Tankovic M. (C) 26. Sunjic I. 88. Pepe 17. Orsic M. 30. Dragomir V. 7. Bruno	35. Neshcheret R. (G) 18. Tymchyk O. 4. Popov D. 32. Mykhavko T. 44. Dubinchak V. 29. Buyalskyy V. (C) 6. Brazhko V. 10. Shaparenko M. 7. Yarmolenko A. 11. Vanat V. 22. Kabaev V.
Substitutes
33. Anderson Silva 9. Bassouamina M. 70. Ilia M. 11. Jaja 25. Langa B. 99. Papadoudis A. (G) 35. Pedrao 82. Petrou P. (G) 8. Quina D. 12. Sema K.	40. Bilovar K. 39. Guerrero E. 74. Ignatenko D. (G) 20. Karavaev O. 51. Morgun V. (G) 91. Mykhaylenko M. 8. Pikhalyonok O. 99. Ponomarenko M. 21. Supryaga V. 2. Vivcharenko K. 9. Voloshyn N. 5. Yatsyk O.
Coaches
Carcedo J.	Shovkovsky O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Orsic M. ⚽, Tankovic M. (A),
40', Vanat V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dubinchak V. ↓, Vivcharenko K. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Correia J. ⚽, Orsic M. (A),
60', Tankovic M. ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
60', Buyalskyy V. ↓, Guerrero E. ↑,
65', Popov D. ↓, Bilovar K. ↑,
67', Dragomir V. ↓, Quina D. ↑,
67', Correia J. ↓, Jaja ↑,
78', Vanat V. ↓, Voloshyn N. ↑,
78', Kabaev V. ↓, Ponomarenko M. ↑,
85', Orsic M. ↓, Langa B. ↑,
85', Pileas K. ↓, Sema K. ↑,
90+4', Quina D. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Apollon Arena.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Paphos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paphos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Paphos - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 36.22%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paphos FC
UEFA Champions League
05.08.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Paphos	0:1 ✺
30.07.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Paphos	0:1 ✺
22.07.25	Paphos - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Orlando Pirates - Paphos	1:1 ✺
11.07.25	Paphos - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWTTW
- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
08.08.25	Rukh Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.08.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Paphos	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
02.08.25	Veres Rivne - Dynamo Kyiv	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Hamrun Spartans	3:0 ✺
22.07.25	Hamrun Spartans - Dynamo Kyiv	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
05.08.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Paphos	0:1

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