Match Info

Date: 3 August 2021, Tuesday


	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Sheriff Tiraspol

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.25	11	Watch
	1.34	4.5	9.5
	1.35	5	9	Watch
	1.27	5.2	10
	1.31	5.34	11.23
	1.27	4.5	11	Watch
	1.31	5.3	10.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)	5.01 ↑ (4.56)	10.28 ↑ (9.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
72.1%

Draw
18.8%

Sheriff Tiraspol
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

20.6%

9.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

9.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Sheriff Tiraspol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-41.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crvena Zvezda Belgrade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheriff Tiraspol than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sheriff Tiraspol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Sheriff Tiraspol Predictions

Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (98 of 112 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.38% – 93.63%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Crvena Zvezda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sheriff is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sheriff could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Crvena Zvezda is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
31.07.21	Spartak Subotica - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Kairat	5:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
24.07.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Mladost Lučani	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.21	Kairat - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
16.07.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Vojvodina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLT
- Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldovan Super Liga
31.07.21	Florești - Sheriff Tiraspol	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.21	Sheriff Tiraspol - Alashkert	3:1 ✺
20.07.21	Alashkert - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:1 ✺
13.07.21	Sheriff Tiraspol - Teuta Durrës	1:0 ✺
07.07.21	Teuta Durrës - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

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