Match Info

Date: 28 July 2021, Wednesday


	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Kairat

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7.75
	1.37	4.7	8.5	Watch
	1.39	4.4	7
	1.42	4.76	7.93
	1.36	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.39	4.55	7.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)	4.52 ↑ (4.36)	7.84 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
67.4%

Draw
20.7%

Kairat
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

21.4%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

13.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-25.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crvena Zvezda Belgrade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kairat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.5%	2.3%	4.2%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Kairat Predictions

Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (200 of 214 users predict this - 93.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.15% – 96.77%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Crvena Zvezda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kairat have a series of home games.

In this match Crvena Zvezda is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Crvena Zvezda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Crvena Zvezda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
24.07.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Mladost Lučani	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.21	Kairat - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
16.07.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Vojvodina	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.21	Sturm Graz - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:1 ✺
05.07.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Argeș Pitești	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTTW
- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Cup
24.07.21	Kairat - Turan Turkistan	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.21	Kairat - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
17.07.21	Kairat - Kaspiy Aktau	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.07.21	Kairat - Maccabi Haifa	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
10.07.21	Zhetysu - Kairat	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
21.07.21	Kairat - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:1
UEFA Europa League
09.07.15	Kairat - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:1
02.07.15	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Kairat	0:2

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