Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE CUP

Date: 5 December 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Crystal Palace U21		Bristol City U21

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.75	2.15
	2.73	3.84	2.22
	2.9	3.3	2.1
	2.78	3.68	2.14
	2.8	3.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (1.75)	3.63 ↓ (3.74)	2.15 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace U21
32.6%

Draw
25.1%

Bristol City U21
42.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

23.5%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crystal Palace U21's form might have worsened.

Bristol City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol City U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace U21 than the current prediction. (+21.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crystal Palace U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City U21 than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol City U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Crystal Palace U21 - Bristol City U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crystal Palace U21 will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Bristol City U21 will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City U21: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently Crystal Palace U21 have a series of guest games.

Recently Bristol City U21 have a series of home games.

Crystal Palace U21 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Crystal Palace U21 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace U21
English Premier League Cup
28.11.22	Bristol City U21 - Crystal Palace U21	2:2 ✺
21.11.22	Newcastle United U21 - Crystal Palace U21	0:1 ✺
14.11.22	Sheffield United U21 - Crystal Palace U21	1:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
04.11.22	Crystal Palace U21 - Leicester City U21	0:0 ✺
31.10.22	Arsenal U21 - Crystal Palace U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWTT
- Bristol City U21
English Premier League Cup
28.11.22	Bristol City U21 - Crystal Palace U21	2:2 ✺
21.11.22	Sheffield United U21 - Bristol City U21	2:1 ✺
14.11.22	Bristol City U21 - Newcastle United U21	4:0 ✺
English Professional Development League
08.11.22	Bristol City U21 - Watford U21	5:0 ✺
01.11.22	Bristol City U21 - Charlton Athletic U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League Cup
28.11.22	Bristol City U21 - Crystal Palace U21	2:2

Crystal Palace U21 - Bristol City U21