Match Info

NB III - Southeast - Round 27

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Csepel		Martfű

	1	X	2
	1.46	4	5.5
	1.7	3.6	4.15
	1.74	3.59	3.87
	1.74	3.42	4.45	Watch
	1.7	3.6	3.8
	1.63	3.94	4.67
	1.57	3.8	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)	3.71 ↓ (4.06)	4.4 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Csepel
55%

Draw
24.4%

Martfű
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

22.5%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

20.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Csepel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Martfű has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Csepel than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Csepel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martfű than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Csepel - Martfű Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
53', 2 - 2, ⚽,
57', 3 - 2, ⚽,
76', 4 - 2, ⚽,
89', 5 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 6 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Csepel is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Martfű has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Martfű may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Csepel is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Csepel will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Csepel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Csepel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Csepel	10	3	4	3	20:16	4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Csepel FC
Hungarian NB III Southeast
26.04.26	Dunaharaszti MTK - Csepel	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Csepel - Vasas II	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Szeged II - Csepel	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Csepel - Dabas	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Csepel - Békéscsaba 1912 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWTWW
- Martfűi LSE
Hungarian NB III Southeast
19.04.26	Tiszaföldvár - Martfű	4:1 ✺
10.04.26	Martfű - III. Kerületi TVE	1:4 ✺
05.04.26	Hódmezővásárhelyi - Martfű	1:5 ✺
29.03.26	Martfű - Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	BKV Előre - Martfű	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB III Southeast
19.10.25	Martfű - Csepel	1:0
18.05.25	Csepel - Martfű	0:1

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