Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Third stage - Round 3

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Ergilio Hato (Willemstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Usa	Paramount+, Peacock TV, Telemundo


	Curaçao		Jamaica

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.05	3.05	2.32	Watch
	3.15	2.96	2.35
	3.13	3.28	2.4	Watch
	3	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (3)	3.08 ↑ (3)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curaçao
30.2%

Draw
30.5%

Jamaica
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curaçao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Jamaica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	20%	66.7%

Curaçao - Jamaica Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Curaçao will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Jamaica will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jamaica: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Curaçao (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Jamaica (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Room E. (G) 2. Sambo S. Sparta Rotterdam 20. Brenet J. Livingston 18. Obispo A. PSV 3. Gaari J. Abha 10. Bacuna L. (C) Bandirmaspor 8. Comenencia L. Zurich 7. Bacuna J. Gaziantep 16. Margaritha J. SK Beveren 9. Locadia J. CF Intercity 12. Hansen S. Middlesbrough	1. Blake A. (C) Philadelphia Union 2. Lembikisa D. Lincoln City 6. King R. St. Mirren 21. Fray I. Inter Miami 3. Bell A. Charlton 5. Pinnock E. Brentford 10. De Cordova-Reid B. Leicester 18. Russell J. Barnsley 7. Campbell T. Charlton 20. Cephas R. Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12. Cadamarteri B. Sheffield Wed
Substitutes
11. Antonisse J. Kifisia 24. Bazoer R. Konyaspor 13. Candelaria J. NAC Breda 23. Doornbusch T. (G) Venlo 21. Felida K. Den Bosch 14. Gorre K. Maccabi Haifa 15. Martha A. Rotherham 22. Merencia L. (G) Be Quick 1887 17. Noslin T. Telstar 6. Roemeratoe G. Waalwijk 4. van Eijma R. Waalwijk	16. Anderson K. Charlton 19. Anglin J. M. Montego Bay 14. Burrell R. QPR 13. Chambers T. (G) Mount Pleasant 9. Dixon K. Crawley Town 4. Holgate M. Al-Gharafa 15. Latibeaudiere J. Coventry 22. Leigh G. Oxford Utd 17. Lowe D. Houston Dynamo 11. Nicholson S. Club Tijuana 8. Richards D. 23. Waite J. (G) El Paso Locomotive
Coaches
Advocaat D.	McClaren S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Comenencia L. ⚽, Bacuna J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hansen S. ↓, Gorre K. ↑,
58', Margaritha J. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
59', Fray I. 🟨,
61', Cadamarteri B. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
61', Russell J. ↓, Dixon K. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Gorre K. ⚽, Locadia J. (A),
73', Fray I. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
73', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Anglin J. M. ↑,
80', Campbell T. ↓, Richards D. ↑,
87', Comenencia L. ↓, Roemeratoe G. ↑,
90+3', Locadia J. ↓, van Eijma R. ↑,

Preview

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Curaçao won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curaçao
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Curaçao - Bermuda	3:2 ✺
05.09.25	Trinidad & Tobago - Curaçao	0:0 ✺
Gold Cup
24.06.25	Honduras - Curaçao	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Curaçao - Canada	1:1 ✺
17.06.25	Curaçao - Salvador	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTLTT
- Jamaica
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Jamaica - Trinidad & Tobago	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Bermuda - Jamaica	0:4 ✺
Gold Cup
24.06.25	Panama - Jamaica	4:1 ✺
20.06.25	Jamaica - Guadeloupe	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	Jamaica - Guatemala	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Gold Cup
25.06.19	Jamaica - Curaçao	1:1
09.07.17	Curaçao - Jamaica	0:2
Caribbean Cup
25.06.17	Jamaica - Curaçao	1:2

Curaçao - Jamaica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide