Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 15

Date: 31 October 2024, Thursday


	Czarni Połaniec		Podhale Nowy Targ

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.3
	2.6	3.65	2.26
	2.6	3.6	2.24
	2.59	3.78	2.29	Watch
	2.62	3.58	2.23
	2.6	3.65	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.61)	3.63 ↓ (4.4)	2.26 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Czarni Połaniec
35.1%

Draw
24.9%

Podhale Nowy Targ
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

20.7%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

21.3%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Czarni Połaniec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Czarni Połaniec's performance.

Podhale Nowy Targ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Podhale Nowy Targ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Czarni Połaniec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Podhale Nowy Targ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Czarni Połaniec - Podhale Nowy Targ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Chmielowiec M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, Marcinho ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, Michota M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Czarni Połaniec won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Czarni Połaniec have a series of guest games.

Podhale will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Czarni Połaniec won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.6:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Czarni Połaniec won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.10.24	Wisła II Kraków - Czarni Połaniec	3:3 ✺
19.10.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Czarni Połaniec	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Wisłoka Dębica - Czarni Połaniec	0:3 ✺
05.10.24	Czarni Połaniec - Avia Świdnik	4:3 ✺
28.09.24	Star Starachowice - Czarni Połaniec	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 TTWWL
- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.10.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chełmianka Chełm	3:2 ✺
19.10.24	Wisła II Kraków - Podhale Nowy Targ	5:0 ✺
12.10.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Korona Kielce 2	2:2 ✺
05.10.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Podhale Nowy Targ	3:0 ✺
29.09.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
08.06.24	Czarni Połaniec - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:0
18.11.23	Podhale Nowy Targ - Czarni Połaniec	1:1
19.03.23	Podhale Nowy Targ - Czarni Połaniec	2:3
17.08.22	Czarni Połaniec - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:2
12.06.22	Podhale Nowy Targ - Czarni Połaniec	2:2
06.11.21	Czarni Połaniec - Podhale Nowy Targ	5:2
04.05.19	Czarni Połaniec - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:3

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