Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Referee: Mallo E. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cádiz		Eibar

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.85	3.25	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.35	2.92	3.2
	2.42	3.15	3.47
	2.61	2.47	3.62	Watch
	2.38	3.13	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.04)	2.9 ↓ (3.32)	3.34 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
39.5%

Draw
32.4%

Eibar
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.3%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.5%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cádiz's form might have worsened.

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cádiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	72.7%	9.1%

Cádiz - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Eibar will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Aznar V. (G) 20. Carcelen I. 14. Kovacevic B. 6. Ortega I. 21. Climent M. 15. Ortuno S. 5. Diakite M. 18. Diarra Y. 11. Suso (C) 23. Pascual A. 12. Tabatadze I.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 22. Rodriguez A. 21. Moreno M. 4. Arambarri A. 3. Arrillaga H. 30. Garrido A. 14. Olaetxea L. 17. Corpas J. (C) 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 18. Ares A. 10. Guruzeta J.
Substitutes
30. Blanco R. (G) 17. Camara D. 34. Diaz Peregrina J. 8. Fernandez A. 27. Fernandez P. 9. Marti R. 2. Moreno J. 10. Ocampo B. 33. Pereira R. 26. Perez F. (G) 7. Ugiagbe E.	7. Alkain X. 6. Alvarez S. 9. Bautista J. 24. Buta L. 2. Cubero S. 15. Jair 1. Lopez L. (G) 5. Martinez J. 8. Nolaskoain P. 19. Villa T.
Coaches
Garitano G.	San Jose B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Pascual A. 🟨,
60', Carcelen I. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Suso ⚽, Diarra Y. (A),
66', Ares A. ↓, Alkain X. ↑,
66', Guruzeta J. ↓, Bautista J. ↑,
66', Rodriguez A. ↓, Cubero S. ↑,
72', Pascual A. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
72', Tabatadze I. ↓, Ugiagbe E. ↑,
79', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
79', Arrillaga H. ↓, Buta L. ↑,
88', Suso ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
89', Buta L. 🟨,

Preview

Cádiz is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Eibar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cádiz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cádiz: Fali (Knee Injury) Gil D. (Knee Injury) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Ontiveros J. (Knock) de la Rosa J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Eibar: Arbilla A. (Red Card) Nolaskoain P. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Eibar: Javier Marton (Calf Injury) Madariaga A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cádiz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Cádiz - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.98%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
07.09.25	Real Sociedad B - Cádiz	3:3 ✺
31.08.25	Cádiz - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Leganés - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Cádiz - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Cádiz - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWTWT
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
08.09.25	Eibar - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Huesca - Eibar	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Eibar - Granada	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Málaga - Eibar	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Eibar - Deportivo Alavés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
31.03.25	Cádiz - Eibar	0:0
23.10.24	Eibar - Cádiz	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
06.03.21	Cádiz - Eibar	1:0
30.10.20	Eibar - Cádiz	0:2

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