Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 32

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Córdoba		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3
	2.25	2.9	2.95
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.39	3.11	3.1
	2.34	3.1	3.08
	2.34	3.05	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.47)	3.01 ↑ (2.8)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Córdoba
39.4%

Draw
30.3%

Alcorcón
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

32.8%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

34.2%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Córdoba than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Córdoba - Alcorcón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Córdoba won 2.

Córdoba is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcorcón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Córdoba have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Córdoba won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Córdoba won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Córdoba CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.04.23	Linares Deportivo - Córdoba	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Pontevedra - Córdoba	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Algeciras - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Córdoba - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Talavera de la Reina - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTTT
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.04.23	Alcorcón - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Algeciras - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	Alcorcón - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
19.03.23	Fuenlabrada - Alcorcón	0:4 ✺
12.03.23	Alcorcón - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.12.22	Alcorcón - Córdoba	3:0
Spanish LaLiga2
27.01.19	Alcorcón - Córdoba	2:1
09.09.18	Córdoba - Alcorcón	0:0
04.03.18	Alcorcón - Córdoba	1:2
08.10.17	Córdoba - Alcorcón	3:0
25.02.17	Córdoba - Alcorcón	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
11.01.17	Córdoba - Alcorcón	1:2

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